This is nuanced and interesting, despite most likely being completely wrong - as others have mentioned, it's predicted on LLMs being at the top of the sigmoid and they just ain't.
Also, this goal-post-moving did crack me up rather:
> Sure, it is terrific at using its statistical models to come up with textual passages that read better than the average human’s writing, but that’s not a particularly high hurdle.
Also, this goal-post-moving did crack me up rather:
> Sure, it is terrific at using its statistical models to come up with textual passages that read better than the average human’s writing, but that’s not a particularly high hurdle.