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Mental speed is high until age sixty (nature.com)
466 points by qw on April 18, 2022 | hide | past | favorite | 283 comments



Over the years, I have become convinced that much of the observed age-correlated cognitive decline in people younger than ~70 results from voluntary life choices, such as settling into fixed behavioural patterns (e.g. doing the same thing over and over for decades) and lack of exposure to new stimuli.

It's the case for some physical activities as well: almost all people's actual performance degrades way, way faster, than their potential peak performance.


I'm 40 and my oldest daughter is 10. We both are very engineering oriented. It is amazing seeing the difference between age. Some math problems are intuitive to me because I have 30 years of experience and neurological pathways that mean I don't even have to think about them, and she gets stuck on the same problems. On the other hand, sometimes she will solve problems with a broken toy after I had given up on fixing it.

Intelligent and cognitive ability are not scalars, they are vector spaces. Some dimensions start dropping off in your 20s and some not until your 80s. I feel like my emotional intelligence could peak in my 50s or 60s.


I’m 37 and I feel the same. Learning a brand new subject is difficult for me, mostly because I just feel too tired to push myself to do it.

On the other hand, my brain feels like it has marinated in 37 years of general experience, such that I can take on projects of significant complexity and not think too hard about it.


I also think a part of this is having enough experience to notice the cyclical nature of things also. Yes, that brand new thing is cool, and in my 20s I mighta jumped to learn it. But now, I see it's just a re-imagination of something from 10 years ago, that I learned back then, so it doesn't excite me in the same way. I might look at it to understand the parts that are different/re-imagined, but often not going to deep dive into items that fit that description.

And yes, not everything is just repeated, but it was an aspect I hadn't seen anyone else talk about.


I'm 39, and a fairly decent pianist. I learned a bit of guitar when I was younger, but just recently started learning guitar/uke more seriously.

I'm keenly aware of the skills that I spent hours and hours practicing that are now second nature to me on keyboards (such as scales, chords, names of notes) that I need to learn for guitar. Intellectually I understand how things work on guitars, but in order to get decent, I need to start putting in the time to practice playing scales, learning the fretboard, and even just teaching my fingers how to move in certain ways.

And it's not any harder to do this stuff than when I was a kid - in fact, in some ways it's easier. But it takes time and dedication. I have to keep reminding myself that I am actually making a ton of progress. But the tiredness / busyness can make it difficult to put in the time.


Tell me about it!

When I was younger I'd tunnel vision on things and get insanely good really quickly. The price was that everything else in my life was totally neglected. But I could totally afford to spend 6 hours after school, and entire weekends, on whatever I was into.

I just picked up guitar last year as an adult. I'm consistently practicing, but man progress feels slow! It feels weird not being able to tunnel-vision on a hobby


That’s what hurts the most about aging, to me. The loss of obsession. Obsession is the sole reason I’ve ever been good at anything, and I’m scared that I’ve entered into a permanent stage of my life where I’ll no longer feel overcome by curiosity or passion.


That's actually not been a problem for me. I don't know whether I have a touch of ADHD or I'm a bit on the autism spectrum, but being able to seriously focus on things hasn't really been an issue for me. The real issue are distractions - including my wife who I love hanging out with. She's been traveling a lot, so I've had more time to spend hours practicing my guitar scales and fingerings, and watching a TON of youtube guitar videos.


Why the delayed interest in guitar?


Just never clicked with me when I was younger. My younger brother was super into guitar so that was kind of "his thing" and I had other interests. I spent a lot of time playing keys in my late 20s / early 30s, including being in 2 different bands, one which played several shows every weekend.

...but a piano or keyboard is not very portable, and not everything is a good fit for keys. I especially love the portability of the tenor uke.


How much sleep are you getting?

I had a similar problem. Getting 8 hours of sleep every night, no exceptions, helped immensely.

It’s really hard. I even have a self-imposed rule that I always send my kids to sleep away camp in the summer. It’s necessary to escape the grind and take care of myself for a few weeks.

But if you look at medical research, it’s absolutely insane how sleep is related to everything.


I tried sleeping a solid 8 hours. Didn’t work. Weirdly enough, if I only get 4 hours of sleep, I’m wired for the entire day and I feel great. But it’s not sustainable.


Maybe look into polyphasic sleep. Instead of sleeping continuous 8 hours you can have main sleep chunk with short naps sprinkled throughout the day.


I think if you're in this position (which I am at 41), you've mostly used your prime brain time well. Turning high-effort, high-value brain pathways and operations into basically no-ops is the point.


> mostly because I just feel too tired to push myself to do it

As a 34 year old this scares me the most. I don’t want real life to accumulate and accrue around me so I don’t have the energy for curiosity and intellectual pursuits. But the harder I fight, the more cruft there is to think about.


It's like the old parable in 7 Habits, "I don't have time to sharpen the ax, I'm too busy chopping". You have to get strategic about it, you can't just plow through like you did when life was simpler.

Cut things that aren't such a high priority out completely. Reconsider division of labor in your household. Outsource. Batch process. Block time out on your calendar to do things you want to do, on a repeated schedule so you don't have to find time again. Put them in the form of classes, if social pressure helps. Yeah it's a job but if it gets your life back, isn't it worth it?


I'm 42, I'm finishing my game development degree, doing my ham radio license, and I was never so sharp as now in my life. Maybe as younger hacker, I could learn harder, but i used to have much less focus and waste much more time than now. Now I know myself, I know how I learn and what I want to learn. What works for me: I study always from 7 until 8:30. To be able to do that. I wake up 5:30, do my sports and then start to study. I'm blessed to have a wife and kids that just support me to be "weird" and hungry for learning and knowledge. I dropped as well my workload to be able to spend as much time as I can learning.


The sports bit might be the key. I think I need to start exercising daily - currently I only do once per week.


I do it every day. Even if you are feeling not so up to do sports, grab your phone, tune your favorite podcast and walk at least 30 minutes, following it by a stretch session. Something like that https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=L_xrDAtykMI would be enough.


At 33 I’m feeling something similar. I wouldn’t say that new subjects are hard, necessarily, but they do take a type and quantity of mental energy that’s not always available, making for a sense of tiredness in these situations.

I could be wrong but I feel like this would improve a lot if I didn’t have to work a job for a while. The bulk of each day’s mental energy goes into writing code, which doesn’t leave much for other things.


If you've never done it, I strongly suggest finding a way to take at least two months with absolutely no agenda at some point.


Same age, same boat but I wonder about two independent factors: how my cumulative health decisions have depleted my energy reserves, and if being lower on the Dunning-Kruger curve had some distinct advantages earlier in life (i.e. I expect things to be harder now which adds an additional mental obstacle and fatigue). I also gave a shit about far less thus further freeing mental capital.

Then again, outside of sports, nothing in my youth was taxing (particularly not school). The only real mental investment I had to make was verbal sparing with friends, and video games.

It was easier to do math in my head but I had been doing it regularly for years (full stack web apps call for very little), and it was much easier to keep momentum on something like Tolstoy (could also be health related though).

What about you? Any specific things you think you could incontrovertibly do better in your youth that aren't likely confounded by other variables?


> how my cumulative health decisions have depleted my energy reserves

I wonder about this too. Goodness knows that sleeping for ~4 hours or pulling all-nighters, eating the cheapest things on the shelf, and not getting in much physical activity late in high school and through college weren't sound decisions and are likely to haunt me for the rest of my days.

> if being lower on the Dunning-Kruger curve had some distinct advantages earlier in life (i.e. I expect things to be harder now which adds an additional mental obstacle and fatigue)

This isn't that much of a problem for me. In fact when it turns out that things put up less resistance than expected it's kind of refreshing and helps pull me along. The trick is getting to that point in the first place.

> What about you? Any specific things you think you could incontrovertibly do better in your youth that aren't likely confounded by other variables?

Hard to answer, really. Maybe sitting down and getting lost in the process of doing something creative… it came extremely naturally to me in my teens and early 20s but there are so background processes associated with being a responsible somewhat functioning adult running in my head now that it's considerably more difficult. Probably fixed by removing the need for those background processes to run, but that's not exactly practical.


Dunning-Kruger (as you are using it) is a myth, though.


Are you referring to people often misapplying the concept, or its replicability issues (which I had admittedly come across before but don't hold in active memory)?

I'm confident I nailed the former (I thought I was better at things than I was in reality when I was younger, and am now more likely better than I think I am in those same domains today).

If you referring to the latter, it's tricky for me. It's like the famous two humped camel in programming aptitude. It seems to be useful in describing experiential observations but didn't (doesn't?) replicate. I've stopped using it at this point because I don't want to mislead people.

DK also has the appearance of explanatory power at a minimum, and utility in communicating the simple form of the concept. I don't like the replicability issue but wonder how bad the down side is if all I'm really saying is we aren't often humble enough about new things, and aren't confident enough about things we've dedicated time to?

Welp, that justification for promoting something potentially falsifiable surely isn't going to come back to bite me and expose my hypocrisy elsewhere...


That rings true for me as well. I think it's -because- there are areas that have had so much experience and focus and come so easily, that everything else feels hard by comparison. While I can identify with feeling too tired, I don't know if that's really different than when I was younger, it's just when I was younger I had nothing easier to fall back on to feel valuable.


There are concepts called crystallized intelligence (stuff you learned) and fluid intelligence ("working memory", ability to work with x number of data points). The latter is what drops with age.

The idea isn't that you aren't effective when you are old, just that you are slower.

Some studies showed a slower rate of decline in execs and people doing interesting/creative work, which implies that the "not doing anything new" is at least partially at fault.


There are three phases of learning: computational, associative, and automatic. When you are older you may be able to transition into the associative stage more quickly when you attempt to learn something.


I've always had a sneaking suspicion that the best folks I've worked with just ("just") had the breadth to immediately drop into an associative mode, and as I've gotten older and realized that I so very rarely actually encounter anything remotely new that I'm doing it now, too. Having grown into being on the other side of the table, recognizing that "yes I understand, yes this is the first time I've seen this, it's fine, go on" capability in myself is neat. (I try to be as delicate with it as my own mentors were.)


Yes agreed on peak emotional intelligence coming later (at least in my case).

I'm 51 and have never been happier nor more balanced in my life. I can't run as fast nor program as long into the night as I could a decade ago (or maybe I can but I know better now) but as far as my approach towards people and life in general I'm feel much advanced over my neurotic 900 mile an hour have to show everyone how smart I am younger years.


Of the "I wish I knew then what I know now" aspect, the emotional intelligence would be the one area I'd choose. The absolutely stupid and meaningless things that would set me off back then just make me embarrased/ashamed of that behavior now. I'm practically zen-like now compared to then, and I have a much better quality of life for it now. I would stew on things and not let things that bothered me go then, where now I actually laugh at things instead.


Yes, I observed that also. They are are faster physically and mentally (such as operating or discovering how things/software works) and a lot more logical (but not in depth). Simple recent example, doing trail making test (for fun) they were twice as fast while I was average.

http://apps.usd.edu/coglab/schieber/psyc423/pdf/IowaTrailMak...

This is why I wish system would allow for more young politicians and leaders, lower voting age of 16, and maximum voting age of average lifetime expectancy - 16.


My own political stances from back when I was 16 make me think that this may not be a great idea. I was logical, but also young and inexperienced, knew no other perspectives than my own and had yet to develop some more empathy. I was even completely unaware of some significant facts about myself, which also influenced my opinions. Also, I like to believe that I'm way less prone to manipulation and peer pressure now than I was back then. My mind may have been sharper, but that's not all that matters.


If started at 16 young people would be much better voters at 18 than current 18 year old voters are and so on. There are examples of uninformed voters at all age groups (voting across party lines is one example). Young people should have a chance to participate in our democracy and should be able to vote, if not in general, at least in municipal elections.


How so? How is being able to vote or not influencing people being informed or not? (which, by the way, is absolutely not what I was talking about in my previous comment)

Having voted before does not make you a better voter in the future. I don't think the fact that I had to wait with my first vote for almost full voting cycle longer because there were elections right before my 18th birthday that I couldn't take part in had influenced my political stances in any way.


I’m OK with this as long as we make 16 the age of adulthood. Otherwise it’s a bit hypocritical to say that a 16 year old is mature enough to vote but not mature enough to have a beer.


I think it makes sense for age of adulthood to be a graduated system for different perks at different ages.

If we ever make “K-16l” schooling free I suspect it will come about in tandem with increasing the perceived age of adulthood.

Meanwhile I do believe that 14-18 year olds should be provided far, far more agency than they currently are.


That is an interesting idea, but hard to implement in practice, to only allow mature enough people to vote. Being mature means different things to different people, but I suspect that even we we agreed on a definition we would find that a lot of adults would not qualify.


You could argue that an adult shouldn't be represented by someone they didn't have the ability to vote for or against. But in that case you would probably need to lower the voting age even more.


"and maximum voting age of average lifetime expectancy - 16"

- And maximum age of US public officials (especially presidents) set to a similar limit.


Should 16 year olds also be required to serve on juries?


Jury is selected and approved by layers and judge. Judge and lawyers are in much better position to select someone competent than age, especially at low and high extremes. Just like there are few 18 yo juror's there would be likely very few 16 yo ones.

Speaking of age, there's an interesting research that found: "that conviction rates increase by about 1 percentage point for each year increase in the average age of the jury pool"


The role played by judges and lawyers in selecting jurors varies a lot by jurisdiction and type of proceeding.

If 16 year olds are allowed to vote, they will wind up on juries.

Assuming jurors are selected randomly from the electorate, with exclusions only in very unusual instances, would you support 16 year olds being part of juries?


This is crystallized vs fluid intelligence in IQ terms. Your fluid intelligence (short term memory/spatial vizualiation/problem solving) starts going down around 25 and you crystallized intelligence (long term memory) starts going down around 60: https://oxfordre.com/economics/doc/10.1093/acrefore/97801906...


This kinda sounds like there's a marginal cost thing going on: you've made some kinds of problems much cheaper to solve, via experience. The things that those mental models don't apply to are then harder in comparison, even if they aren't actually harder in absolute terms than they would have been earlier on.


This. Corporate work in particular tends to make people stupid. The 98% who don't climb the ladder end up associating what they are (or used to be) good at with subordination and failure, while the other 2% have optimized themsleves to appeal to stupid people and end up just like the set of people (executive blockheads) they're trying to join.

People who protect their intelligence and creativity, damn the consequences, tend to keep them for a long time. People who buy in to the corporate system turn into morons. The problem is that they don't notice it happening, and that, as one gets older, it gets harder to recover.


I’ve been working for very large corporations for 24 years.

In that time I’ve gotten over 30 certifications including three AWS certifications last year.

Your take on corporate jobs is completely foreign to me. I’m sure it exists somewhere but I’m wondering - how long have you been doing corporate work?


What do certifications have to do with creativity?


The person probably meant they didn't really get to coast and just do the same thing over and over again. Many kinds of mundane-looking corporate work are often hard work.


You think getting certificates is improving your mind?

My experience in corporate work is exactly as the comment you replied to. Endless drone work doing much the same things day after day. I did it for 3 years, learned basically nothing beyond what I came in the job with, then went out on my own. In the time since I have learned so much more than what I did in that corporate job, there is just no comparison. Also, I strongly suspect they literally try to keep you stuck in one spot and too dumb to move out of it on purpose; you are less likely to leave or ask for a raise. They want predictable drones in corporate work, and yes, getting certificates is one way you make drones feel like they are doing something.


I've worked for startups and for very large companies. I've also consulted for both, and dealt with executives and decision-makers in both spaces. And, respectfully, three whole years at one job is a drop in the bucket in terms of experiential breadth and making sweeping claims to the universe of corporate work from it is unwise. "Drones" "drones" "drones" is just look-down-your-nose silliness and while I am not a cheerleader for tech certs generally, I have a few in my background, and there's significant value both personally in the effort to better oneself and in the practical, learn-what-to-learn you can derive from them. (AWS certifications, for example, are pretty significant in terms of what-you-have-to-know when you get past Associate.) Even aside from that, there are tons of medium and large companies actively and consistently working to provide opportunities because internal transfers are (usually) cheaper and no less likely to succeed at new and more complex roles than hiring externally. Heck, even in places where that isn't necessarily a company focus, I've seen reading groups, SIGs, etc. form just because people want to learn new stuff. Tale as old as time.

One job, three years. Perhaps you had a bad job. But try this one on, too: perhaps you lacked the wisdom to recognize opportunities where they appeared, and you're better at it now.


If you don't want to do endless drone work (who would?!?) then why would you stay at that job?

I've never stayed at an unfulfilling job - how pointless. I've made a point to network outside my immediate group - and most importantly be nice as well as helpful to others. It really makes a difference; people notice. All of my jobs, including my current one, came to me based on my reputation. There was no luck involved, just honesty and steady work. I won't even say hard work because it was always work I enjoyed.


certifications, flawed as they are, do show accumulation of new knowledge.


I've worked for startups that have done projects for big companies like:

   * a "big five" accounting firm
   * a major aircraft manufacturer that isn't Boeing
   * a leading ISP that isn't Comcast
The people I worked with on these projects were smart AND nice, at least to us.


That’s not completely false, but it’s misunderstanding aging.

Lack of energy is one of the signs of aging. Staying up to 3 AM to party and going to work the next day is one end, but the other is trying to convince yourself to do more than sit in a chair all day. It’s not that people get lazy it’s that everyone slows down and learning new things or doing anything difficult just takes more out of you every single year.

Age related decline is biological and not everyone has identical DNA. The need for reading glasses varies quite a bit and is probably a good yardstick. Some people get their first reading glasses at 40 other’s 60, that’s a huge range.

As such just because some people are running marathons at 90 doesn’t mean most people could do that, it’s self selecting for people with minimal declines. The other half of this is injury/disease/height etc can make a huge difference.


> Some people get their first reading glasses at 40 other’s 60, that’s a huge range.

It's a lot wider than that. I'm 66 and don't need glasses yet, neither for reading nor driving, but one of my children, aged thirty, does.


I think the comment you are replying to specifically meant age related far-sightedness when speaking about glasses. Plenty of people need them for issues which have nothing to do with age.


Age-related decline is happening at much younger ages these days. There is a growing belief that the way we prescribe and use glasses is leading to atrophy in young people that previosly was only seen in the old. Lenses get firmer eith age, but atrophied muscles from inactivity mean even soft/young lenses are unable to focus properly.


I read that lens muscle atrophy is negatively correlated with time outdoors. Stands to reason.


Last I checked, they'd finally narrowed down the main cause of near-sightedness (not far-sightedness, though) to insufficient very bright light (sunlight) exposure during certain formative years (I wanna say like 3-6?). Seems to play a role in getting the lens to stop changing at the correct time.

Seemed like they were pretty certain it was that, specifically, and not the list of other things people've blamed it on over the years.

No-one's responded to this by totally re-thinking how we do early childhood education (there's little sun in the Winter, schools have been cutting back recess time and getting much more timid about sending kids out in non-perfect weather, so I'd bet that's when most of the harm is being done) so maybe that turned out to be BS? Or maybe we just don't care about preventing a very high percentage of near-sightedness cases.


China is. It started with their air force pilots. They, like many air forces, have had to drop their 20-20 vision requirements for pilots as the VAST majority of well-educated potential pilots now wear glasses. In china/japan it can be upwards of 90% of young men, that a huge loss of potential recruits. (fyi, most air forces now require only that new pilots have vision "correctable" to 20-20 via glasses.)

https://www.sixthtone.com/news/1007440/to-protect-kids-eyesi...

>> China’s top education authority has asked all schools to give students more sports-related assignments and less text-based work during summer and winter breaks this year to curb climbing myopia rates among minors.

>> The Ministry of Education announced the new rule as part of its Bright Action project, a five-year plan to better protect students’ eyesight by increasing outdoor activities and minimizing screen time, which have been blamed for deteriorating vision among children and adolescents.


You mention recess time. I live in Helsinki and the school system here aggressively gets kids outside for regular playtime in any weather. There should be data here for further investigations of root causes.


In my part of the US, nicer private schools and daycares tend to act that way, but cheaper ones or public schools schedule less of that time to begin with and are quick to replace that with indoor activities if there's a light drizzle or it's a little cold outside. Perhaps counterintuitively, public schools seem much quicker to bow to the preferences of one or two nutty parents ("little Johnny was COLD at recess! You can't go outside when it's 35°F, that's unsafe!") than private schools do.

Also, public schools have responded to No Child Left Behind legislation, in part, by drastically cutting recess time, including in very early grades—which, AFAIK given the state of the art in learning research, might actually be counter-productive, but a key sentiment driving all US behavior is that one must always be able to say that one has "done something", even if that something was worse than doing nothing, and that it's preferable to so something that an uneducated person would think looks like it should help based on gut feeling, over what experts say would help.


I've read conflicting accounts around this. Some link "time outdoors" to exposure to "natural" light, which 99% of the time is brighter light. But others link time outdoors to a wider variety of focal distances. Someone walking in the woods is constantly refocusing from close to far, whereas someone sitting indoors is probably just staring at a fixed distance (computers/books etc). So the answer may be brighter indoor lighting (brighter computer screens) or maybe we need to continuously change our focal distances, something far more complicated to implement indoors.


> Age related decline is biological and not everyone has identical DNA

Agreed—my friend Chaz Ferrari is 70 and has no gray hairs. And swims miles every day.

It's also easier to overlook one's aging when one is not competing with youth. I'm 58, and I pair-program at my company, and the intellectual elasticity of the twenty-year-olds continues to astound me: they can read through code & digest it much more quickly than I can, my years of experience notwithstanding.

> Lack of energy is one of the signs of aging

True! I remember when I was 49 and had to resign from the rugby team. "This is my last season," I told the coach. "I'm tired all the time from practice and games, and I can't do it anymore. It's too much." I was forced to acknowledge that at 49 I could no longer do what I could at 48. But that doesn't mean that life is over: I play old boy's rugby, and it's a blast.


"he need for reading glasses varies quite a bit and is probably a good yardstick. Some people get their first reading glasses at 40 other’s 60, that’s a huge range." I'd like to meet someone at 60 who hasn't aged. They might not need reading glasses but pretty sure they will otherwise be old, with gray or balding hair, bad knees, etc.


My point was everyone ages, but young 60 and old 40 can look a lot alike.

Balding isn’t universal, a friend of mine is 70 and looks 50 with a full head of hair that not full grey, it’s kind of freaky. He’s still working construction and carrying heavy loads etc. Meanwhile I started going grey at 20.


I agree 40 and 60 can look similar but from what I've seen, being young at 60 is due more to taking care of yourself than genetics.


At least hair loss and going grey is genetic. I am sure being overweight etc plays a major role, but I wouldn’t rule out a genetic component to most signs of aging.


your use of "yardstick" (a measuring tool) confused people about what correlations you intended.


I'm 39 and I think during the last few months I have starting to notice first (very light) symptoms of presbyopia (difficulty to focus on very small print from up close while wearing my myopia glasses, that goes away without glasses). So I hope for my own sake it's not such a good yardstick!

Fortunately I'm rather optimistic, as I think I have a relatively good energy level for people my age. In fact, I can still party until 3 AM and go to work the next day (although not for several consecutive days, like when I was 20...).


This may be of interest, but vision therapy requires an order of magnitude more time/effort than buying expensive progressive lenses, https://www.visionsofjoy.org/pdfs/RayGottliebPresbyopia.pdf. Another option is monovision, which can sometimes occur as a natural adaptation, https://www.allaboutvision.com/contacts/monovision.htm.


You're right at the typical age to get bifocal glasses. For nearsighted/farsighted it's the shape of a person's eye as they grow. For close up text it's the flexibility of the eye that is the problem.

I managed to get to age 53 before needing bifocal glasses but I really should have had bifocals around age 47. Books were OK at age 46 but getting hard to read at 47. My phone screen was the final straw when I had to hold it with my arm nearly completely stretched.

Once you get them you realize it's not the "light is too dim", it's not "they make text too damn small these days!", or the font style, it's your eyes. With bifocal glasses (or just reading glasses) it's amazing to see small text again.


A great many people get glasses at 6, not 60, and thier vision is in decline before highschool. It is a widespread and very modern problem. In a couple decades the concept of reading glasses might be gone. Everyone may be in glasses 24/7 starting long before age-related decline.


Most people who need glasses at a young age are nearsighted. That is, their eyes can focus on near objects, but they need glasses to clearly see objects far away.

Vision decline in old age is frequently associated with farsightedness. Old people have more difficulty focusing on close objects, so they get reading glasses.

I've been nearsighted for most of my life. I've always worn glasses to drive a car, but glasses didn't impede my near vision until after I turned 40. Today I wear progressive bifocals when I drive so I can see the road, but also read the speedometer or the navigation app on my phone. Before I turned 40 regular glasses didn't prevent me from seeing the dashboard clearly.


As i predicted, your use of glasses in all circumstances has usurped the concept of reading glasses. Since you are using modern bi/trifocals you probably will just keep using those rather than have dedicated reading glasses that you switch to for close-in reading.


Even ignoring your omission of contact lenses, that doesn’t follow.

I have been wearing glasses since I was young and it has very little to do with how I feel about reading glasses. Bifocals are awful if you saccade regularly instead of moving your head, add that to astigmatism correction and it’s like you’re viewing the world through the portals of a bathysphere.

I will likely always be able to just take my glasses off and read. But when I wear contacts, reading glasses are my preferred option.


This is pretty strongly linked to insufficient time outdoors in natural light.

Age-related vision change is a different beast.


I refused to get reading glasses when I started having trouble reading small labels some years ago. I blamed the problem on computers and that might have something to do with it but probably mostly age.

Instead I got this book: https://www.amazon.com/Better-Eyesight-People-Gillian-Snoxal...

It's not even a book. More like a pamphlet and could fit the whole thing in a <li> almost. But it worked in my case at least. A few weeks of doing the exercises and I could read find print labels again!


The Bates Method has been “debunked” and is even considered dangerous [0]. In your case I would suspect that it isn’t the eyes that have improved, but your brain got trained to apply better “error correction” when reading small print. At least that’s an effect that I observed on myself after my eyesight worsened: At some point my brain learned to compensate by improved pattern recognition, but sometimes it messes up, a bit like an ML model, and “sees” details that aren’t actually there.

[0] https://en.m.wikipedia.org/wiki/Bates_method


I don't know if this is the Bates method exactly but it worked very well in my case. It didn't take long either. Maybe 10-15 sessions and I was back reading small print on labels. And could clearly make out each character and thus do not believe it's some sort of mental compensation or pattern recognition.

Certainly I do not believe rolling your eyes or blinking or the other exercises in the book could in any way be dangerous. Some are sort of weird and I don't know how effective "palming" is for example.

But it makes sense to me you can exercise your eyes like other parts of the body (or brain for that matter). I don't see how it could be otherwise.

"Dangerous" sounds like it might be Big Optical (is there such a thing?) disinformation. I kid. Maybe.

It worked. Was not pattern recognition or anything like that, I could actually see clearer and with less effort. No idea who "debunks" this kind of stuff or if there have been trials or what those might be worth nor do I particularly care.

Just relating my experience in hopes someone else gets the same benefit.


Not everything he said was dangerous, but Bates advocated sungazing which can cause serious damage the peoples eyes including cataracts, macular degeneration, pterygia, and sunburn of the cornea.

Palming as described can be safe, but if you applying pressure to the eyes it increase the risk of glaucoma.


I don't know the history or theory behind this and so don't know if this book is the Bates method proper but Bates advocated looking at the sun with open eyes?

If so ya, that could be dangerous.


Yes, he suggested looking directly at the sun.


The "decline after 60" conclusion of the article rings true to me. I switched intellectual focus and mastered entirely new fields regularly throughout the 40 years between when I left college at age 20, and my early 60s. That switching and new learning kept me fresh, and my ability to do productive intellectual work - the mental speed measured in the Nature article - held up very well. But it began to noticeably decline in my early 60s. This was not due to life choices, as you suggest - I had an active interest and incentives, and put effort into, maintaining my abilities, and probably had more time and opportunity than ever. Rather, it just became noticeably harder to learn, and to use learning to solve problems or do creative work.

A data point of one proves nothing, of course. But my experience at the very least provides no counterexample to the article's hypothesis.

As for the physical - sure, you can maintain a greater peak performance than what most people do, as you age. But regardless of the effort, it's pretty much going to go down hill - strength, reaction time, coordination - after you're 30. You can slow it down, maybe dramatically if you're on the tail of the curve and put enough effort in (c.f. Tom Brady), but you can't stop it. And the effort required per "retained ability" just goes up.


They are not talking about cognitive decline, they are talking about speed of processing. I am mid 60s, engineering for the last 38 years, and the depth of work is not a problem, but I definitely don't make the same snap judgements that I made even just ten years ago. It also pertains to physical reaction time. Meaning, after 60 you best leave a little more gap between you and the car ahead.

You may doubt this now, but you will see how life changes for you after age 50, and again how life changes for you after age 60.

It is all fine, it really is, but you will find yourself saying "that didn't used to hurt", and you will also find yourself shoving people away from your mouse because they want to click on something that you haven't decided to click on yet.

It's just nature. Yes, some people abuse their bodies and their minds, but even the most careful are going to see changes. Just life, just how it goes.


> doing the same thing over and over for decades) and lack of exposure to new stimuli

So basically having a job in modern society?


Our conception of a job as doing repetitive, boring, pointless work, is very much not the nature of actual work.

I feel there is a huge underclass in society who do dead end jobs and feel terrible inside. But that's not the nature of work itself.

My experience is that there is plenty of high paying, high status, highly stimulating work. But there's competition for those jobs, then employers deliberately discriminate against those who don't have experience in those lines of work.

And over time the job market bifurcates.


Well if there are 20% of jobs that are interesting, the leaves 89% of us stuck no matter who discriminates against who and how we distribute them


I read or heard somewhere (maybe some Schwarzenegger speech?), that only 25% of the people are happy with their jobs. If the rest of the people drags themselves through the workday ... I guess you get used to the frustration at some point and have to completely separate/compartmentalize that from private life, otherwise you get into a life crisis or something. As a society we definitely owe it to ourselves to find better jobs for people and create less frustrating work environments. As to how to achieve that though, I do not have the answer.


If power and responsibility went hand in hand, then the incentives would align with that goal.


Not to mention the fact that many interesting jobs that are not highly paid restricting the choices you aim for even further.


You don’t have to aim for a high paying job. It’s not a goal in itself. Plenty of people are happy doing jobs which don’t pay that well but interest them.


My whole career I had the attitude that the job was more important than the money. I have budgeted and planned so I could retire well even though I have not made a lot of money. The problem is that I did not foresee that a divorce would end up halving my retirement. I think we would all do well to destroy the idea that enjoying work is more important than making money. We have a limited amount of time and effort that we can invest so we need to maximize our earnings.


I think that’s not an issue with jobs not paying enough but an issue where society doesn’t have a suitable safety net for when life does it’s unpredictable thing. A divorce sucks, but it shouldn’t destroy your ability to retire well. There should be government programs to ensure the elders of the community are set.


I think that there is not enough wealth around to support all elders communities at reasonable levels. The demography is a bitch all around and there is too many people young and old that believe that they deserve american middle class level of life. Where they will find all required modern slaves to make it happen?


We have plenty of wealth. The argument we don’t is something I don’t actually believe and would like to request evidence for. Everyone does in fact deserve a decent quality of life, with basic things like healthcare and housing made available to them and we don’t need slavery to do this.


If everybody would somehow limit their greed - then yes, You are right, there is plenty of wealth - for example from the pure math point of view the hunger problem should not exist (we have too much food at this moment).

But this is not math problem to solve - this is people problem. We collectively do not care enough to solve it. Most of us are lazy and there is too many greedy people between those who can provide and those in need.

When I look around my family and friends I do not see anyone who knows how to limit their greed - I believe that almost all of them, if given a chance, would use money and power to bring their status up, increase their consumption, and only then would share like 10% of it with the ones in real need. And when I look around those who know how to restrict themselves (some church community participants) I only see people that know how to talk and are mostly impotent - they do not know how to build systems that could bring wealth to those who need it.


sure, you wouldnt blame yourself getting married to a partner that takes half of your earnings but yeah destroy the idea of doing an interesting job for half money - you could have stayed single with a happy ending or two once a month ;)


I was a research scientist in my other life. And while overall the job was challenging and very interesting 90% of it was still boring and mentally repetitive things. Granted being board behind one's desk and board while working 9 to 5 on a conveyor are two completely different scales of boring. I was once cutting trees and shrubs using nothing but axe for 3 month as my summer job.


Is it a typo or is the math wrong intentionally to feed a pin (which I'm obviously not getting)?


Guessing the 9 was meant to be a 0. (They are self-described as "clumsy.")


Exactly


>if there are 20% of jobs that are interesting, the leaves 89% of us

Um...


The 9 and 0 keys are next to each other on my phone, meaning ...


I read that as some type of Birthday Paradox at first.


> high paying, high status, highly stimulating work

If you are lucky you can pick one. If you are very lucky you can pick two.


I dunno if I agree with this. I feel like I've got a nice combination of the three.

I make median wages for "lead full stack developer" role at a company with no central office (I live in the middle of nowhere.) I also have a fairly good amount of autonomy and authority, and do work that borders on "fun" more often than not.

Maybe you could say that I have no "status" compared to some pedigreed, Fortune 500 C-suite type but that doesn't really interest me so much. I come from a working class Appalachian family so I have a pretty low bar of "status" which really just means "professional respect" to me.


>> > high paying, high status, highly stimulating work

> I make median wages

So it's not "high paying".

> do work that borders on "fun" more often than not

That sound a quite far from "highly stimulating work".

> I have a pretty low bar of "status"

...you made my point.


>> So it's not "high paying".

Median full-stack developer making median city wages in the country? Okay.

>> That sound a quite far from "highly stimulating work".

No it doesn't.

>> I have a pretty low bar of "status"

Yeah well, what's yours?


Most people also wouldn’t consider standard full stack development highly stimulating


I decided a while ago that I'm going to live my life as if this were true despite not having scientific evidence to support it. When people retire they're in danger of rapid decline if they stop living a rich and active life, exactly as you said. You need physical, mental, and social stimulation. My grandmother is in her 90s and doing really well considering her age, and I can see that she walks, read books, and meets friends all the time. I pursue physical and mental stimulation constantly; running, yoga, lifting weights, practice music, learn new languages, programming, reading books, etc. (I admit I have a bad habit of neglecting social needs.) If I am lucky enough to "retire young" from software I plan on pursuing a new career in some passion field. I've chosen to believe that slowing down is my choice and right now I plan to choose not to.

I know all of this is anecdotal, you can go ahead and preface every sentence I wrote with "I think/In my opinion..." but in this case n really does equal 1, I only have 1 life to live. Even if there is absolutely no correlation between my observations and reality, with this strategy I'm only at risk of a life well lived.


>I have a bad habit of neglecting social needs

I understand that social contact is a part of healthy aging. If you are feeling alone, make time for people! Though it sounds like you are enjoying yourself thoroughly.


I agree, and I think you also see the same with physical health. Our metabolism doesn't actually decline until we're in middle age (nor do you need to ramp up your calories during pregnancy) [1]. The only reason people get fatter over time is because they just keep overeating, and probably get more sedentary over time to boot. Knowing this has really motivated me to build a lifestyle that demands consistent and significant effort that I can sustain throughout my entire life: challenging and diverse mental stimulation, diverse and frequent but low-impact exercise, and lastly, a satisfying and nutritious diet that doesn't cause me to gain weight. It's amazing to learn how strong and durable our bodies are, and inspirational to see how much potential we actually have.

1: https://www.science.org/doi/10.1126/science.abe5017

> [energy expenditure] remains stable in adulthood (20 to 60 years), even during pregnancy; then declines in older adults.


This is the problem with cohort studies. If you just picked 100 people at random and followed them from age 40 to age 60, on average they'd all get physically weaker. But this is an observation, not an unavoidable trend; if you took any one of them and put them on an effective weightlifting and diet program (and they followed it), they could at least double their strength assuming they previously never lifted weights.


Here's the thing.

An average 30 year old who is not doing sports will not lose muscle mass by itself.

An average 50 year old will lose 1% per year or so.

If you get older you have to work just to keep the status quo.


>An average 30 year old who is not doing sports will not lose muscle mass by itself.

>An average 50 year old will lose 1% per year or so.

Sure, but the average is what it is because most people barely exercise, especially when they're older. If everyone lived a much more active life with more strenuous exercise, the average would look completely different.


Actually, if you put them all on an effective weightlifting and diet program, they'd still decline. More slowly to be sure, but no amount of exercise and diet will eliminate the effects of age. Same is true of mental exercise. Animals, and mammals in particular, lack the cellular and metabolic level repair mechanisms that would make it possible for us to keep running at peak ability indefinitely. We have no organ level repair mechanisms at all, outside of, arguably, our livers. Time is coming for you.


>Actually, if you put them all on an effective weightlifting and diet program, they'd still decline

The point is the baseline will increase. Someone who strength trains seriously could easily be at least twice as strong at age 40 as somebody without any training. Even if they unavoidably lose 50% of their strength over the next 20 years, that just means at age 60 they'll have the same strength level as a 40 year old who never strength trained (and twice the strength of a 60 year old who never trained, assuming it decays linearly).


> Animals, and mammals in particular, lack the cellular and metabolic level repair mechanisms that would make it possible for us to keep running at peak ability indefinitely.

Given some of the research on anti-aging, it's not clear that this is the case.


The question isn't 'will they decline' it's will they be better than they would otherwise be, and that is unequivocally yes.


Another way to say this is that, well past 60, life choices outweigh senescence.

I also like to remember that at no time are we really using what capacity we have to the fullest. An activity like chess for instance requires 100% focus over the course of the game to really do well - that kind of workout has got to good for brain health, but it's extremely rare in modern life. Compare with everyday survival say 10,000 years ago, which might have required 100% focus for much of the day.


I think it’s far more likely that certain physical ailments show up and a decreased desire for physical activity and novel experiences. Undiagnosed CFS/ME being an obvious case. I also think a lot of drug taking is self medicating for things like serotonin and dopamine dysregulation. People are trying to fill a hole, but there is a hole there.


Indeed! If only people would eat their vegetables, they'd be immortal.


>It's the case for some physical activities as well: almost all people's actual performance degrades way, way faster, than their potential peak performance.

It's pretty telling that these days people remain competitive up to their mid 30s even in pure athletics. For anyone under 60 who's not an elite athlete, age-related decline is probably noise compared to the difference that an hour or two of extra training per week would make. (That's not to deny that injuries etc. become more of a problem as you get older.)


I think this is skewed by a few highly visible players in the NFL. Tom Brady may be performing at a high level as a quarterback, but he definitely isn't as athletic as a 23 year old coming out of the draft. His performance is due to his understanding of the game, not some visits by Ponce De Leon.

The average age in the NBA and NFL is 26 years old. Sure there are outliers, but again, much of the success of these outliers isn't due to pure athleticism, but to understanding the game.

For every Brady, or Manning, there's a running back who lost a step and is no longer effective.


I was talking more about regular people. Any normal person is likely to be so far away from their peak athletic performance that even with age-related decline, it is probably possible for them to continue to increase their level of fitness into their 60s. Of course, it is hard work to do this. The point is just that as a regular person who’s lucky enough to maintain good health, you don’t have to accept your fitness declining precipitously with age.

I have no idea what the NFL is by the way :) So I doubt that my comment was influenced by it.


(National (American) Football League)

At the running group, someone aged 55 ran a marathon at 2:55 or sth like that (it's really fast. I don't remember exactly but I was surprised)


I think there's been a lot of advancement in nutrition, recovery and medicine to get to this stage. Unfortunately mental performance boosting seems taboo (eg. Modafinil) almost like steroids.


I’ve not seen anyone taboo mental stimulant drugs, the closest I’ve seen to that is (1) people don’t like things associated with treating mental illnesses and (2) that it’s hard to tell the difference between real medicine and quackery.

Outside those two categories, caffeine is one of the most used mental stimulants in the world, and sold in forms emphasising this use.


You can't buy or request modafinil for performance enhancement, even with doctor supervision, despite known side effects being very benign.


I can say that about a very large number of substances with no mental stimulation effect — There’s a reason pharmacology is a degree all by itself, but that’s still not “$category is taboo”.


I don't get your argument ? What would be the benefit of giving such drugs in comparison to risks and how does that relate to modafinil ?

Walk in to your doctors office and ask getting modafinil prescribed for improved work performance. What's the argument against it ? The ones I've heard are about them being there to treat conditions, etc. and giving stuff like this to boost performance of healthy individuals is very much a taboo.


A quick search for modafinil contraindications tells me it should not be taken with alcohol and it makes certain kinds of birth control less effective.

I’m not even remotely qualified to so much as read and understand medical jargon, but even I can recognise that several items on this ([0]) long list of stuff that interferes with (or is interfered by) mondafil includes both food and stuff you can get without prescription from the new-age-hippie section of a supermarket. Given the dumb things my hippie mum gave me as a teenager (and my dad without telling him [1]), all I can say is that this seems to me to be unwise to make trivially available.

Perhaps I’m wrong. After all, the fact a random person like me can’t read and interpret the warnings like a professional would is as much a limit on how seriously to take my concern as it is a reason to be concerned.

[0] https://www.drugs.com/drug-interactions/modafinil-index.html

[1] at the very least Bach flower “remedies”, which would probably be harmless except for all the alcohol. She thought she was doing all of us a favour.


> Unfortunately mental performance boosting seems taboo (eg. Modafinil) almost like steroids.

Well both have effects only as long as you keep taking them. If i recall correctly there's a whole lot of mind altering substances that are illegal because of that...


But it's not like you have reduced mental capacity once you stop taking it (after you get some sleep) or I haven't seen any evidence of it. It's also not addictive. And available as a cheap generic drug. So what would be the problem ?


It's addictive as in you'll miss the effects and you'll continue taking it. Doesn't seem safe.


Did this happen to you ? Because frankly that hasn't been my experience at all. I've probably went through 40 pills in 5 years and it was always a great way to get through crunch time, prep for big days, wave off bad sleep days, etc. But I never felt the need to use it day-to-day - it would probably mess with my sleep and I would likely develop a tolerance.

For me - there is no effect other than not feeling tired and being able to focus really well. It's not even feeling rested because physical aspects of fatigue still kick in (eg. back pain from sitting long, eye strain, etc.)

Caffeine is probably worse because I get hard withdrawals symptoms after I get off (light migraines first couple of days and generally tired) - I don't really notice anything different after taking modafinil and getting proper rest.


> 40 pills in 5 years

But how would you do if you took one every day?


Sounds less addictive than caffeine.


I think most adult lives require a sclerotic mindset to develop. You have to be the same, potentially stupid, cog whether you like it or not. I personally tried to stretch my brain but time is lacking or the context is too chaotic (even at the human/political level, it's hard to find people to discuss) to really enjoy deep stimulation.


Also: too much information.

The 'hubris of 20 something' is mostly just ignorance.

When you have the experience to have witnesses all sorts of outcomes, you think of things in different ways.

I find myself far more 'unsure' of things because of 'all the angles' - and 'trying to thin of the unseen one's.

It's like C++:

You start by writing code. And think it's good, but it's not.

Then idiomatic code, because you realize the mess of your earlier code.

And then start to see 'all the things that could go wrong' in the horror of the code you wrote before.

Then you spend the rest of your career worrying about every few lines of code, about all the things that could go wrong, with obvious diminishing marginal returns on that.

So if you're 20 and making a dating app, it doesn't mater that much, you can thrash and burn through code.

For many things, that doesn't work and many of those projects do not fit the pattern of 'high growth VC' so they have to get done another way, hopefully at companies with surplus budget and a bit of vision and people willing to still do stuff instead of collecting a paycheque.


In other words your life is a cast.


I know many people who are 40+ and simply refuse to learn new things. When they need to read a bill, fill out a form or figure out a basic UI, they refuse to even try and give it to their children or grandchidren.

I assume (without proof) that the brain loses elasticity when you stop using it for decades.


I am 61 and due to a nature of my job (creating products for clients and my own company) do nothing but constantly learn and invent things. I see no signs of slowing down and my clients seem to be happy with my solutions.

I am however lazy for example to learn some things that are valued by many people but what I consider useless. But I was like that as long as I can remember myself.


I am much the same, I can't muster the energy to learn things I think to be useless. Life is too short to learn/do useless things! I think you prioritise healthily :)


Aren't some presidents around 80 sometimes :-)


My anecdotal evidence is the opposite of this. At 53 I'm constantly learning new technologies and trying to get my younger colleagues to adopt them, but they refuse.

I assume (without proof) that this is because of their limited experience. They don't realize yet that there are many different solutions to any problem. They believe the first solution that comes to you is the one to stubbornly adhere to, because they are young and over-confident in their new abilities.


You have fundamental skills and you have room to play around with them. As in, you have been walking tight ropes (for the sake of example) for decades and its boring, so you try some jumps and runs on it. For them, barely staying on is an issue, so any additional variables is too much cognitive load.

An array wasn't always just "some ordered collection with fixed sequential memory". It was a very specific C# implementation written out as var fooArr = new barType[]. It was confusing that in Python its fooArr = []. "Why is it different? What does it all mean? The syntax is hard to remember. What if this adds errors? I just want my code to work."


You're saying actually the opposite of confidence (hesitancy) is something that might look like complacency to one person but it's actually just being conservative, making sure you stay on that rope. Good point. Thanks!


Refusal to learn doesnt suggest inability so to do. Once you have seen dozens of fads come and go you may well decide to focus on core skills rather than learn something that you know will be useless in a couple years. With age comes perspecive. With perspective comes the ability to think in longer terms. Choosing to ignore something doesnt mean you wouldnt be able to master it if you wanted to.


Well, these computers and email and messaging apps and web browsers -- they use the same ones for years, without really ever "getting it".

It's not as if they're saving time, when they need to knock on my apartment door, and ask what's happened with their computer (the browser window was 1cm to the right of the edge of the screen so some buttons seemed to be"gone").

it's instead that ... When using the apps, they don't automatically effortlessly learn how these apps work. Whist kids do

(I have in mind my 60-70-80 years old parents and neighbors)


My wife has ended up as the de facto tech trainer for a group of senior individuals she's met through a hobby of hers. While most of them are pretty technically illiterate, it's interesting nevertheless to see the differences. They'll all come to her with a goal they want to achieve on their computer, which she'll help walk them through. Some of them just want her to do it for them. Others want to be walked through exactly what they need, over and over, until they can do exactly this one task themselves (but any deviation later, due to a difference in need, software update, etc, will have them reaching back out to my wife). And a few, a very few, will ask questions along the way, seeking to abstract out the broader patterns and affordances so that they can figure out a whole swathe of similar problems on their own.

I assume there may still be others who never ask my wife (or anyone) for help, who learn on their own, but it's interesting to see the differences for those who do seek out help. I hope I'm in one of the latter group(s) when I get into my 60s+.


That's prioritization of cognitive load, everyone does it young as old. I've always subconciously made fun of people who can not do what my group can do, but now at +40 I have for many years seen that as a group bonding mechanisim you just have to keep in check. My point is what you think is important is not obvious for other people. What is basic is not simple to teach.


Figuring out a new UI is kind of a puzzle, but not a very good one. Figuring out a bill or form that has been sent to you -- not sure about 40+ (they should really do their own bills, that is weird for a 40-something year old), but when I think of my grandmother who is more like 80, this seems like a pretty reasonable thing to ask your kids about, given the absurd number of scams that target older folks.

I am 100% willing to believe that continuing to learn new things is good for brain health. But it seems to me that these examples are more like outsourcing the handling of annoyances, rather than avoiding the kind of new learning that would otherwise keep their brain healthy.


People seem to be prone to settling on a set of beliefs because they give them predefined answers and relieves them of some cognitive load.


Yes, it seems as if to some people, thinking, is really unpleasant


Interesting how much pushback you got on this. My experience is similar, I know many people who refuse to put effort learning the slightest new things, usually with excuses that they "already think too much" or are "prioritizing" or "outsourcing". But whatever those other priorities are, they don't look like learning to me. It's like exercise, if you haven't run in a few years then it's incredibly exhausting, no matter what your age is. I think most people are too quick to blame on age, what is often just lack of exercise.

(Although, note that physically pushing too hard is just as dangerous as not enough, the shorter lifespan in the past was partly due to an over-rigorous use of the body. I wonder if there's a mental equivalent, although I haven't seen any real evidence of it.)


correlation is not causation, and you've merely observed a correlation there. its way more likely that the people with declining mental acuity just couldn't learn anymore, making it a self fulfilling prophecy.


I'm 53 and recently embarked on a complex self-guided mini-medical education to try to understand my son's rare condition.

I've pushed my way through a 400 page nursing textbook, dozens of scientific papers and a 900 page freshman neuroscience textbook (currently at page 90).

I never took any bioscience class after high school software chem.

There have been ups and downs. Mentally comparing myself to when I was in school and reading comparable material, I feel my ability to master it was at or above that - at its best. However the amount of time I spend "at my best" in general is MUCH lower than when I was that age.

Today I have trouble sleeping many nights. An old hip injury and also anxiety.

A night I don't sleep well is definitely not going to be followed by a day where I gain understanding of neuronal membrane chemistry.

Didn't have those issues when I was 17 - any time was study time.

So I guess this goes along with the thesis of the story. Mental powers are there, but other body systems aren't able to support the brain's demands at quite the same level.


One other difference here: a class forces you to keep moving when there's something you don't fully understand at the moment. And often that works pretty well --- you cover a bunch of ground imperfectly, and backfill the holes over time.

It's easy to get a little bogged down without a teacher-equivalent tracking the pace, at least for me. Which also means I spend more time subjectively experiencing struggle than I would otherwise, regardless of how it's going objectively.

Which I guess just maps to "increased decision-making caution" in the paper.


That is exactly the problem I have when self-teaching. Classroom learning gives me external feedback on my performance as well as pushes me along when I get stuck. I have a hard time deciding when I'm spinning my wheels on some unimportant point or if I'm genuinely taking the time to understand a new concept fully without such guidance.


I guess this would suggest that keeping physically fit and calm is the key to getting the best out of your aging brain.


I think a big factor is recovery time. When you’re young you can do some extreme activity and still be well rested the next day. Recovery time even for fit people just gets a bit slower when older. But if you’re not pushing yourself then you can usually recover fully by the next day.


working on that! :)


Same here. Once over 50 I found my ability to learn anything is several orders of magnitude efficient and faster. Most college and graduate academic knowledge and works appeared suddenly rudimentary albeit I've never worked in academic field.

However meanwhile I found my ability to learn new language has dramatically diminished. Unless it's something naturally appealing to me, any hard memorization has become extremely challenging.


> a 900 page freshman neuroscience textbook

Which one, and would you recommend it?

59 here, and with an autistic 16 year old who has great difficulty with communication. We're trying speech therapy, ABA therapy, but it seems to be both practical and parental to try to engage more deeply... with whatever is left of my fluid (vs. crystallized) intelligence.


Book is "Neuroscience, Exploring the Brain" by Mark Bear and I really like it. Thoroughgoing scientific approach but has a unique philosophy of explaining the needed underpinnings as it goes. For example the section on "how genes work" was like 5 pages long, easy to absorb and really leveled up my understanding.

Regarding your son - have you looked into sulforaphane at all? It's a tantalizing substance for my son's diagnosis (Kabuki Syndrome) and I noted this study as I was doing my research, which appears to show promise in 18+ autistic people ... https://www.pnas.org/doi/full/10.1073/pnas.1416940111


This is an argument for lifting + cardio to help the brain.


Abstract

Response speeds in simple decision-making tasks begin to decline from early and middle adulthood.

However, response times are not pure measures of mental speed but instead represent the sum of multiple processes.

Here we apply a Bayesian diffusion model to extract interpretable cognitive components from raw response time data. We apply our model to cross-sectional data from 1.2 million participants to examine age differences in cognitive parameters.

To efficiently parse this large dataset, we apply a Bayesian inference method for efficient parameter estimation using specialized neural networks.

Our results indicate that response time slowing begins as early as age 20, but this slowing was attributable to increases in decision caution and to slower non-decisional processes, rather than to differences in mental speed.

Slowing of mental speed was observed only after approximately age 60.

Our research thus challenges widespread beliefs about the relationship between age and mental speed.


What non-decisional processes are they talking about?

Sorry, don't have access to the fulltext.


Usually in these types of models it's unspecified, like error in a regression. There's the threshold of evidence required for a decision, decision time, and other time, for example.

Examples of things might include motor speed, like the speed required to press the button, etc.


perhaps reading speed?


From my experience, you only become 'slower' due to avoiding challenges. When you are young, you are forced to mastering challenges: at school, college, in life (moving out, organizing your life independently), etc.

Once you are settled in this routine, there are no forced challenges anymore. You need to keep looking for them. ;)


Our modern 'retirement' system is one of the greatest failures of our Civilization.

We confiscate a significant portion of the income of the young and productive, and direct it so that a certain generation can sit rich and idle for decades.

We would be better to abandon pensions, and direct the savings to eliminating sales and payroll taxes, to reduce Cost of Living and encourage work.

The expectation should be that you keep working until you are physically incapable of doing so (where a medical disability payment is available), whilst being able to enjoy the fruits of your labor from lower taxes. There's significant evidence that work maintains the body and mind in old age anyway.


Work is not abandonant today, there is a shortage.


> you only become 'slower' due to avoiding challenges

This is exactly what the study disproves. It breaks out "slowness" into the multiple components. Caution is one of these.


That's not necessarily right, in my reading.

Taking a bit longer to think before speaking / acting is not the same as avoiding challenging / novel situations.


Ya gotta stretch yer brain !


Lots of things can happen to your brain as you age. But if it's physically healthy, there's not much difference between people of different ages. Noam Chomsky is 93 and, though he speaks more slowly, his mind is sharp as ever. It's just that, statistically speaking, older people have a higher chance of physical problems inside the brain or brain cells, probably many we don't even know about yet.


Same can be said of Donald Knuth. He even made a shorter proof than the proof that was considered to be a proof from the book years ago, moments after the original proof was published.

I mean, they all might be outliers for as long as they live and the general conclusion (of decline) applies to us regular folks.


Don Knuths' "Christmas Tree" lectures[0] are awesome - every year, something new from 1997 to 2019 (sans 2005 it appears)

[0] https://www.youtube.com/playlist?list=PLoROMvodv4rOAvKVR_dyC...


And speaking more slowly could be the result of years of experience that taught him to think carefully about what he says, especially in non-casual settings.


Chomsky is amazing. Sharp and well spoken, still!

Remembers all dates of US wars at 90+!


Now what does that say about the geriatrics that seem to be running all major world powers right now?


This is only measuring mental speed, not:

- Common sense

- Life experience

- Intelligence

- Ability to listen to others

- Curiosity

- Empathy


And many of those degrade with age too, IQ peaks in your 20's, and I question life experience formed in the cold war, back when homosexuality was a crime and racism was common sence, houses were 2x annual income and top tax bracket was 70%

If we have minimum age for participating in politics, there should be a maximum age. Set it at like 70% of life expectancy.

Alternatovely, remove minimum age - I would rather have a 16 year old in parliament than a 90 year old, maybe some problems with schools will actually get addressed.


> and I question life experience formed in the cold war,

It's not like russia is a nuclear armed threat actively leading a war that everyone is afraid to intervene in right now...

The rest of your comment here is just nonsensical name calling and assuming anyone older is automatically homophobic and racist. This kind of childish behaviour is why there are minimum ages for offices.


The dude has a point, if offices have an age minimum, I'd argue they should have a maximum as well. IMHO nobody over the age of 70 should be in high ranking public office. Heck the average age in the senate is 63. Is there any wonder that our government is out of touch?


I don’t read it as “calling and assuming anyone older is automatically homophobic and racist”, merely saying those things were considered “common sense” during the Cold War.

I don’t actually know the extent to which each of those things were or weren’t considered common sense in any given year in any given location, so it may be correct or false or even every combination of both, but in any case it is a very different claim.


Yes, @bbarn I also don't think GGP meant any of those things

(Did you wake up on the wrong side today :-))


> maybe some problems with schools will actually get addressed

You're basically saying you mostly care about problems you have experienced, while complaining that other generations don't understand you (without any basis, I might add). That's pretty self-centered.


Any sex worker can tell you that 90% of debate and politics around sex work is disenfranchisement and lies.

If you deny that people with actual experience of the subject matter are better placed to resolve the issue, I am not sure our comprehention of the world is compatiable.

> complaining that other generations don't understand you

Have you seen Marz Zukerberg's senate hearing? Do tou think Senate has succesfully held him to account for the shenanigans Facebook was pulling? Do you dispute that if everyone in that chamber was a 40-year old proffeshonal who could remmber studying IT, and some of them w Veing recent IT proffeshionals, they would be able to do a better job?

Do you feel that in that hearing anybody at all of the older senators, say over 75, has demonstrated how their wealth of life experience has enabled them to do a better job?


Isn’t the point of democracy to align governments with the things people care about? To rely on self-centred voting averaging out over the whole population?


It's might be a kind of "expectation" outcome of one-man-one-vote, but it's not the point of democracy, IMO. I doubt it even has a universally agreed upon point beyond letting everyone participate. But averaging out interests, which is a sensible starting point, indeed requires that everyone gets to vote, old people included. The problem with "averaging out" interests is that the interests of minorities can get ignored for a long time. If that was the parent comment's point, it might have been formulated a bit better.


Not when young people concentrate disproportionately in urban areas and we weight presidential election votes by arbitrary land boundaries.


Uhhh the generation that we call the Baby Boomers have been in control of their respective societies for over forty years. You can see the age (and the apathy, of course) in all of them. The worst (and oldest, of course) are Japan and Italy, but it's a bad problem everywhere.

I would support a maximum voting age, give the reins over to the next generation and let it go already.


The amount of nonsense is staggering

> the generation that we call the Baby Boomers have been in control of their respective societies for over forty years

So they grabbed control when they were in their 20s and didn't let go? That's a bit unlikely, isn't it? And most of the people in that generation had no power whatsoever.

> You can see the age

If you define a group by its age, of course you bloody can see the age. Do you add sentences in the hope that a random true one strengthens other ramblings?

> and the apathy

Strange. In the last years, apathy under adolescents and young adults seems to be getting out of control. Or are you calling them boomers too?


Lol why would I attempt a "conversation" with someone like this


IQ doesn't peak at any age, since its defined so that you can't really compare between people (or if you believe in such things “races“) with different (average) ages. I'm not sure why such a measurement would become the standard one for intelligence as it seems a bit useless by design.


> And many of those degrade with age too, IQ peaks in your 20's

Maybe true, not sure, but outcomes surely do not correlate with age.

"Scientists can publish their best work at any age"

https://www.nature.com/articles/nature.2016.20926


I think thats the wrong measurement - in politics a crisis happens, and you must respond withing a set amount of time.

So if older people take longer to come up with sensible solution, it could be too late


In politics it's almost always the old people who have to come up with a sensible solution to the rash and impetuous decisions made by their younger colleagues in a time of crisis.


What is the basis for this assertion? I believe the opposite is true - older politicians overhwlmingly cause a mess because they are stuck in their old ways

Kennedy was 46 years old during Cuban missile crisis, he has shown restraint when many generals, significanlty older than him, advocated use of force and likely would cause a global nuclear war.

Today young people overwhelmingly show the will to deal with climate change, and older generation overwhelmingly wants to continue to ignore it.


I love quoting Hayek's suggestion that the franchise be restricted to people between ages 45-60, because young people don't have enough life experience to decide, and old people don't have a stake in the future!


> IQ peaks in your 20's

Does that tell us more about intelligence or the testing?


> If we have minimum age for participating in politics, there should be a maximum age

Or a test: do you know where Canada is located? The largest country (area wise) on each continent? Can multiply two double digit numbers? And some other basic things -- one would need to pass such a test to get to vote.

Would reduce the likelihood that the voters change their country to a dictatorship


> If we have minimum age for participating in politics, there should be a maximum age. Set it at like 70% of life expectancy.

As if the people who actually vote are going to disenfranchise themselves. Also, your 0.7 of life expectancy is about 55-57 in the US and UK. Is that really where you think people are probably incapable of making decisions for themselves?

Seems silly.


"Is that really where you think people are probably incapable of making decisions for themselves?"

You don't hold public office to make decisions for yourself, you are making decisions for everyone else.

Well we can argue where exactly the boundary lies, but why do you think most scams and fraudulent schemes target older peopl? They are also considered vulnerable cusotmers by UK competitions and market authority.


> why do you think most scams and fraudulent schemes target older peopl?

(1) just following the retirement money

(2) student loans… crypto… mlm… home loans… plenty of scams target people at other stages in their lives. (I won’t even mention religions.)


> student loans…

I am talking about criminal fraud, the kind that send you to jail. Either you are being disengineous and are equating crime with questionable investment strategies.

Or you believe that the US government is complicit in defrauding an entire generation? I mean the latter could be a good argument for cancelling student debt.


Is that sarcasm?

"Ability to listen to others" and especially "Empathy" are the very opposite attributes of people "running all major world powers right now"


While it certainly feels like that when you’re in a particular politician’s out-group, I think they literally could not even get to play on the national political stage without being really good at those behaviours.

Even the worst politicians, those that I personally hate with vitriol, those whom I doubt even have a rich inner mental world, absolutely do demonstrate listening to the person in front of them. It may not be real empathy, just affectation, but the effect of the affect is the same on the support base they need in order to get elected, or in some cases even chosen as a candidate.


It's not sarcasm, because my comment was not if the persons politically in charge of the major world powers, have those traits in the correct measure.

I was pointing to the fact the paper is not measuring those traits, and they are certainly more important than mental speed. And even that, the paper says until 60 only decreases as older persons take more time to more carefully consider their decisions.

OP seemed to be worried that as they are older, the paper would imply their mental ability was somewhat diminished or less capable, and I pointed to other traits very important, the paper does not analyze.


They absolutely need those abilities. How else to judge who is safe to ally with, and for how long, and when your underlings start to rebel against you? Insult them however you want, but don't underestimate them. Or the powers behind their thrones!


What you described has little to do with empathy.


It's exactly what is called the "dark side of empathy and emotional intelligence".

https://www.psychologicalscience.org/news/minds-business/the...


And the most important asset; money.


289. A man is only worth the sum of his possessions. you know your rules, Ferengi <3


Ah Ferengi's. Lots of them in the Belt.

211 - Employees are the rungs on the ladder of success. Don't hesitate to step on them


I'm usually not the one to think that older generation is a backwards bunch through and through but in case of many world leaders and decision makers I'll make an exception.

> Common sense

We're having a frigging climate crisis and still not acting on it. So - nope.

> Life experience

From different era where world was a bit different, slower paced and pretty much black and white with two genders, fossil fuels and without those pesky women, gays and other minorities raising their voices.

> Ability to listen to others

This would presuppose empathy.

> Curiosity

As on having open mind to new ways of doing things? Nope.

> Empathy

Straight out nope again. Much, if not most of world's problems are exactly because of the lack of empathy for our fellow man and disregard for the future i.e. their own children. Nope, empathy is nowhere to be seen.

Geriatrics in power seem to make very slow and very wrong choices.


Your first paragraph targets world leaders but then your comments seem a bit ageist to me when IMHO they apply to most people regardless of age:

> We're having a frigging > climate crisis and still > not acting on it. So -nope.

Last time I was at a tech conference (fortunately years ago) the bulk of the audience and speakers were people in their 30s or younger and a lot of them had traveled long distances to get there. A few were frequent conference speakers traveling several times per year, all in very climate-unfriendly airplanes.

I see a lot of people under 30 who get expensive ICE cars as they progress in their careers, not to mention that if they have a good career in terms of revenue they’re most likely involved in something that negatively affects climate. I could go on.

> From different era where > world was a bit different, slower paced and pretty much black and white with two genders, fossil fuels and without those pesky women, gays and other minorities raising their voices.

Civil rights are surely not an invention of the current young generation. I’d argue that if we have a more vocal civil rights/social justice movement now it is thanks to all the people who are now over 70 or even dead and who were fighting that fight in more conservative times. This is also not something that’s uniformly distributed in the world or even in “civilized” places (sadly, I’d add), as I keep stumbling upon very young (decades younger than me) bigots far more frequently than I’d like (ok, to be honest, I’d like that frequency to be 0).

> This would presuppose empathy.

If all the young people you interact with are emphatic you’ve no idea how lucky you are. Suffice to say that school continues to be hell to a lot of weird kids right this very moment, that ain’t a problem that went away. That’s because most people are bigoted regardless of their age. If anything, I’ve seen a-holes become a bit less of that as they grow older.

> Geriatrics in power seem to make very slow and very wrong choices

I’ll take the role of unsolicited editor to your comment and suggest that you just say “People in power seem to make very slow and very wrong choices”, that would make it accurate.


"without those pesky women, gays and other minorities raising their voices."

Consult the calendar. When Joe Biden was young, the Sixties were in full swing and the voices you mention were already pretty loud. They didn't have overwhelming results yet, but the path towards them was already being very visibly trod.

What you describe was an even earlier world - and we do not have that many centenarians in positions of power. Queen Elizabeth is pretty much the only important head of state to be still surviving from that period.


> Queen Elizabeth is pretty much the only important head of state to be still surviving from that period.

Even then, the Quiet Generation built things; roads, schools, libraries, arenas and institutions that are being destroyed by under-funding and neglect.


Joe biden was pro segregation back in the day


You don't have to think fast to be a political leader. Plus you can delegate the thinking to subordinates.


I think in any debate or discussion you have to be quite fast on thinking.

When you have to think where to spend $20Mil or more you probably don't have to come up with stuff on the spot.


> I think in any debate or discussion you have to be quite fast on thinking.

Not really. If you watch a debate show like Question Time, everything that's said is utterly predictable. Politicians have spent years trotting out the same arguments. Everything is a set piece because you know what the topic is, and you have ample time to prepare. It's actually like this in most debates, it's only thinking if you haven't been there before. If you are just smart and you run into a person with is properly prepared, you will get demolished by well tested arguments backed up with established facts.

If you get really old and your memory goes then you'll have a problem, but most of the talking head types are not that old yet, and they just give a canned response.


What is this nonsence, if poltical leaders don't think then why do we have select comittees in parliament, why do we have debates experts lining up to give evidence to Members Of Praliament, why do we have zukerberk being called in for questioning?

These are processes that make a democracy tick, if they don't think, id they can't follow whats happening, the system doesn't work


> You don't have to think **fast** ....

Seems like you skip a word in the GP's comment. Politicians has to think slowly, deliberately and (hopefully) correctly, which is to say that mental speed might not be the relevant factor at all.


I think you have to be a quick thinker even if you run a shift at a fast food joint. The stakes are a bit higher here.


I'm pretty convinced that they all get their daily dose of amphetamines or some kind of smart drugs from their physicians.

I mean, Erdos did it and he was productive until his 70's.


If you select for people who are 1 in a thousand on energy, need for sleep and extroversion you get very unusual people.


That population isn't expected to be a representative of a random population sample...


It's like the Peter principle. Not much we can do about it.


I will stop work the day I die.

I don't think I will ever retire. It is just simply not for me.

Be curious.

Seek out interesting problems.

Never stop learning.

I don't think I am any slower today than I was at the start of my career.


> I will stop work the day I die.

This has to be the saddest thing I've ever read. Modern culture/capitalism/whatever has replaced an individual's family, friends, purpose, identity, etc with their job. Truly, "arbeit macht frei".

> Be curious.

"I will stop work the day I die. I don't think I will ever retire. It is just simply not for me."

Sounds like the most "non curious" life possible. But people should lead the life they want.

> I don't think I am any slower today than I was at the start of my career.

You are. Not only are you mentally slower, you are physically slower. But it's okay since your decline in one aspect is offset by accrued wisdom and experience. At least hopefully.

To deny you are slower today is as silly as denying you are wiser and more experienced. It's part of life and aging.


I'd reply to you, but I cannot decide whether you're willfully misinterpreting everything I said or have the mental acuity of a garden snail with a reading comprehension problem. You keep doing you. I have an incredibly happy life doing precisely what I want to be doing.


>This has to be the saddest thing I've ever read

Here on HN a lot of people are lucky enough to be able to work on their own terms and on things they enjoy so you probably should not rush to that conclusion.

I grew up, very rural, plenty of family, not a lot of work. To me it was suffocating. Couldn't use my brain for anything. Work has given me the opportunity to travel, see other places, build some useful things (hopefully) that other people value and so on.


Agreed, keep exercising your mind and body and stay curious.


A paper funded by the German tax payer (https://www.dfg.de/) that they need to pay to access :-)

Code here: https://github.com/stefanradev93/DataSizeMatters


I think there's some of the well-known "Thinking, Fast and Slow" (https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Thinking,_Fast_and_Slow) thing going on as well. As we age, we gain knowledge and insights that we try to reconcile with as we learn new things, and that takes longer. E.g., if you're learning the theory of music scales, those with a math background will tend to think of the math behind the notes as they learn, which is the "Think Slow" way (with active analysis) and takes longer but results in a deeper understanding.


This is just an abstract, so maybe I am missing something, but it sounds like a subtle moral judgment is being inserted here that faster is better: younger people react faster often because of impulsivity. Why should we believe that a faster response time is a good thing, aside from swerving to avoid an accident and the like? Is that what was under measure here?


Why is a correct response better than an incorrect one? Everything's subjective, but I'm pretty comfortable with faster is better, all else being equal.


Thomas Hobbes was in his 60’s when he wrote Leviathan. I think about that a lot when I get discouraged.


I think Immanuel Kant was around 60 when he wrote the Critique of Pure Reason. There are lots of examples of old people doing good stuff.


Having done in the same day 6 hours of psycho-technical and psycho-motor tests at Air France to get into their "Pilote Cadet" program (4h in the morning then 2h in the afternoon after a lunch break), I definitely felt my mental speed during high load+stress at 32 was already a lot slower than at 20 in engineering school. I never felt so brain exhausted and I concluded I was not that sharp anymore ...


> Having done in the same day 6 hours of psycho-technical and psycho-motor tests at Air France to get into their "Pilote Cadet" program I definitely felt my mental speed during high load+stress at 32 was already a lot slower than at 20 in engineering school. I never felt so brain exhausted and I concluded I was not that sharp anymore ...

This is why none of the answers here make any sense.

Many seem to want to blame this on desk jobs and sitting. Others on not learning new things.

Then you have examples of super-high cognitive workload and stress saying this is the problem.

These things don't fit together.

I hold a US CPL and work as a programmer at a desk job. Where exactly does that leave me?


There are some studies that suggest that psychedelics may increase neuroplasticity and promote neurogenesis. Studies about in to whether psychedelics may help diseases like Alzheimer's are underway.


It's weird. We only have like a 20-30 year window where we've attained the most knowledge and experience we'll ever attain and be the best mental version of ourselves and then we go down the shitter.


Personally I don't think it's anything to worry about for the vast majority of people, only those rare outliers of both brilliance and industry are going to see significant negative effects in their output due to age-related mental decline.

In terms of individual peak production the greatest pop stars, physicists and poets (say) are done by 25. Your average decent coder can pretty much go on producing for decades.

Only at the extremes is this going to have a massive effect. Most of us don't live there and we maybe over-worry about it.


Although there are plenty of examples of great physicists with very early output, most typically continue to contribute substantially. Even Einstein's major breakthroughs in general relativity didn't come until his late 30s. Modern theoretical physicists like Ed Witten often didn't get started until ~25 and most of their contributions come much later.


The link between young age and (new) musical production is well established. Everything else - with the possible exception of math which is pretty related to musical ability - less so.


Case point only 2, but I can see slow but steady decline in my parents after their 50s. No addiction like alcohol or tobacco, no neuro-degenerative diseases, they just became slower, grumpier, more and more detached from 'the edge of society'.

Now they are in their 60s and same work they did all their life (leading economical department of 3 high schools with various rental properties, manager at metal engineering company having at one time 300 subordinates), they would barely manage. Memory starts to go down too.

At this rate, it will last them well into 90s to be OK for anything ordinary life can bring, but to ignore this is to ignore reality right in front of me.

Maybe there is some other factor, like constant hard training of the brain by having ever-evolving creative work instead of kind of same office work, or some other aspect.


My mum is a teaching assistant and is 71. She seems as sharp as ever and mood is the same. I think it's key that she still works full-time in a very social environment and keeps active outside of work. It's pretty clear to me that mental health declines rapidly once you start isolating and staying indoors all the time.


> My mum is a teaching assistant and is 71. She seems as sharp as ever and mood is the same. I think it's key that she still works

I agree.

I don't necessarily buy the "loneliness" argument for cognitive decline.

However I certainly buy the importance of keeping mentally and physically active.

Infact I would go as far as saying people who use the "loneliness" term are actually just using it as a lazy synonym for "lack of mental and physical activity". You don't necessarily need to surround yourself with people to achieve it.

Whether its still working in a job, or doing non-job activities such as gardening, travelling, photography, I think keeping your brain busy and your body moving is the key.

If you revert to the cliché retirement image of taking long naps during the day, stopping only to eat and watch daytime TV, then IMHO that's where the problems start.


I tend to disagree. Mental and Physical activities require intent and effort. At older stage, your willpower alone will not push you to make you get up and do it. But if you are socially surrounded, you will have something to get moving. Also, working out or doing other physical/mental activities themselves alone gets so boring after sometime, coz there's isn't much to looking forward to.


Yes pretty much, loneliness is a silent killer. Its so 'silent' that you won't even notice that you are declining but interestingly others will notice.


Although it has been difficult to ascertain exactly the relative weights of stress, anxiety, frustration, and so on due to the past two years, I think a large part of my current cognitive difficulties are stemming from social isolation. Do not recommend. It turns out that even extremely introverted people do very badly when isolated which I suppose is kind of an involuntary (for whatever reason) situation.

I am young, so I hopefully have not caused any permanent issues with my time of isolation - I shudder to think what it would do to me if I were 60 and facing the physical decline of old age.


Physical decline is hugely variable and arguably primarily a function of genetics. I would also argue some people's 'mental speed' was never that great - humans are hugely variable in performance, strength and weaknesses which makes me doubt the 'until after 60' concept. I have a 92 year old mother who is very good mentally for example compared to many people half her age...


It'd be a hugely unethical experiment to do, but I suspect we'll have quite a bit of data coming out of areas that did full lockdowns for extended periods of time (that were enforced) over the past two years. We should, if the theory that isolation causes cognitive decline is true, see a general decline in certain populations and it should diverge from matches around the world etc.


> It'd be a hugely unethical experiment to do

Hugely unethical, but also not scientifically sound.

COVID infection itself has already been demonstrated in various papers to cause mental decline (TL;DR there seems to be a correlation between how "sick" you got and the amount of decline).

There is also the unknown of long-term post-COVID-infection consequences on the brain.

So you would have a bit of a hard time trying to seek to attribute lockdowns to mental decline. Especially, as we know, COVID can manifest itself as an asymptomatic disease.

You then have the additional question of what are you going to count the infectious isolation period as ? It would not be ethical to count it as "lockdown".

Basically it would be extremely difficult, if not impossible to achieve any sort of statistical segregation between "lockdown" and "COVID".

Thus your input data would be messy, and per the GarbageIn-GarbageOut rule, so would your "conclusion".


I don't agree that it's not 'scientifically sound', it just depends on what signals the data actually shows. Natural experiments are never perfect and with something like isolation it's probably impossible to ever see such natural experiments without major confounders. I don't see why that makes you abandon the idea that anything can be learned at all.


I'm just saying that in this particular scenario there would be so many if's, what if's and buts that I think you would struggle to come up with a viable methodology, let alone a viable "conclusion".

"Lockdowns" are also inherently subjective, social and difficult to study in any sort of meaningful way. Not least because different governments implemented them differently, and different populations adhered to them differently. So you'll never really get a clean dataset - and that's assuming people tell you the truth anyway about how compliant they were with the rules.

I think a more reasonable perspective would be to wait until we know more about COVID and (especially) long-COVID. Once the world knows more about the cognitive effect of COVID, then would be the time for secondary analysis on lockdowns.

Afterall, it may well be that lockdowns were more preferable to getting infected with COVID in terms of cognitive decline. Or it may be that both "options" were more or less equal in terms of decline. But for all that we need more time to study COVID itself.


You seem to already have the assumption that covid is worse than isolation. I'm not sure if that's true. Would you want to bet that 5 years of isolation is better than a covid infection for cognitive function? I certainly wouldn't. Where I am, many people have been isolated for quite literally about 2 years (and many are choosing to isolate further despite the official rules mostly being relaxed). I don't think it's good enough to think of isolation as a secondary effect here.


Counterpoint of one, my dad's in in his 70s, and seems sharp as ever.

Last summer, he took upon a project of building a protocol converter between a GPS device and some kind of sailing computer in his sailboat. I politely listened to many details, which I immediately forgot, but there was a Rasperry Pi and some protocols on serial buses and making sense of binary logs. His system works and is in use.

Either he was really, really fucking smart 25 years ago, or there was no steep decline so far. I'm betting it's the latter.


> Maybe there is some other factor, like constant hard training of the brain by having ever-evolving creative work instead of kind of same office work, or some other aspect.

I have a suspicion that a lot of it comes down to diet. After a while it catches up to you. And I don't think what mainstreams doctors consider to be a healthy diet is necessarily what we should be eating.


> Now they are in their 60s and same work they did all their life, they would barely manage. Memory starts to go down too.

Are they still working or not?


Say researchers in their mid-fifties, the prime of life.


Recent and (loosely) related:

The brain expands and shrinks over time - https://news.ycombinator.com/item?id=31048591 - April 2022 (46 comments)

Brain charts: mapping the rapid growth and slow decline of the brain over life - https://news.ycombinator.com/item?id=30943370 - April 2022 (27 comments)


I suspect that the largest declines in mental health, and in heart health, associated with aging is associated with obesity, but not directly because of obesity, but because of sleep apnea. Sleep apnea is very prevalent among the over-weight, and it prevents quality sleep, creating stressors of all kinds. Now that apnea is being more aggressively treated in the last decade, I actually suspect that associations between cognitive health and aging to be pushed back even further.


There was an article about the decline of brain size/etc yesterday.

https://news.ycombinator.com/item?id=31048591

How did I know we'd get this article today? Am I clairvoyant? So many people in denial about aging.


Oh, great, one more thing to soil the age discrimination problem we have throughout society. Even if this is all true or whatnot, it's still a pretty terrible thing for people the older they get.


How should we think about the concept of discrimination in cases like this where it’s based in reality? I’m not sure.


If every person's ability was assessed the same way, but the 80 year old applicant didn't meet the standards and wasn't hired, is that ageism/discrimination, or is it the right way of doing things?

If a job has a requirement and someone doesn't meet it then they simply won't be able to do the job.


Link to the paper: https://rdcu.be/cHd4j


Can anyone who can see the full paper tell me if there is a male/female difference?

Did they bother to break it down male/female?


don't have access to the full papaer, but here are some analysis it seems on some group differences (including male/female)

https://github.com/stefanradev93/DataSizeMatters/blob/main/I...


my great grandmother was kicking ass in cardgames and remembered a lot about the things she used in her life. was harder to get new info to stick. took a few more repetitions, but you could see her mind was processing a lot more than mine was. she was a magnificant woman. she turned 101


All of us leaded gas brain damaged dimwits are about to hit a double whammy?


Phew! I'm 59 1/2.


Comment re-pasted from pubpeer [1], as this article contains claims which amy be disingenuous due to data handling.

"This article was reviewed on the error bar podcast episode 25: https://theerrorbar.com/?e=25 & story 106: https://theerrorbar.com/?s=106. The review was done in the light of newspaper headlines about the article. The slightly-edited transcript is copied here:

headline: BRAIN DOESN'T SLOW DOWN UNTIL 60

tweet: analysis of 1.2 million responses on the 'implicit association test' finds that adults' mental processing speed is totally good & constant until age 60. that's good news for all adults over age 35. until you look at the data.

description: in a story likely comforting to middle aged scientists & journalists, the Guardian & Independent reported last week that, Good News: the brain does not slow down until we are aged 60. what did they mean?

the result comes from a quite complicated analysis of an enormously huge set of data. a social psychology project in the USA has collected nearly 2 million responses from people who were asked to categorise things on a computer screen as, for example, 'good' versus 'bad' or as 'black' versus 'white'. they did this 120 times each.

in general, the results of this so-called 'implicit association test' are able to reveal people's unconscious attitudes - in this example, that white things are good & black things are bad. this test is a classic & it relies on people responding as quickly as possible.

in the new study, researchers in Germany downloaded 1.8 million test responses from the free online database. they analysed how people's responses changed as they age, from 10 to 80 years old. using some sophisticated (& unnecessarily complicated) analyses, the researchers reported that, while the total time spent doing the task changes a lot over life, one conclusion is that, in fact, our 'mental processing speed' remains good & strong until age 60.

phew!

evaluation: does mental speed stay high until age 60?

no.

this is not a hard one. with a total of nearly 1.2 million responses, all openly available online & clearly-presented in this paper, it is a fantastically-simple task to fact-check this claim. all we need to do is look at the data.

i've annotated the image to accompany this story on the error bar website. what the image shows is a gradual & continuous increase in mental speed between age 10 to a peak at about 35, then a gradual & continuous decrease to age 80. it's true that the speed of change seems to be different at different ages, but the strong claim that mental speed is 'high & constant until age 60' is contradicted by just looking at the data.

how did it come to this? the error bar dug deeper.

first, this is a massive dataset - which is great - but quite a lot of data were removed, for example anyone performing the task without making errors was excluded. that's a bit odd, if the best responders are removed.

second, the task itself is quite subjective - is something good or bad? or is something black of white? - & although a well-studied task, it's just one task, so conclusions about mental speed in general must be extremely limited.

third, the data are not a good measure of mental processing speed. to test mental speed, we need volunteers to be fully-focussed & making responses as quickly as possible. but the authors included 'response times' as long as nearly 6 seconds, the average times were around 1 second & there were some massive - and unexplained - differences between men's & women's responses.

fourth, one claim in the report is that the 'merely mechanical' processes of seeing the stimuli on screen & making the keyboard press response take as long as half a second in the oldest adults. this is a pure fiction - the study provides no sensible measurement of these sensory & motor processing speeds.

fifth, & amusingly, the authors chose a particular kind of deep, machine-learning analysis because they said it was "not possible" to analyse all the data in a different, simpler, but more computationally-expensive way. but the new analysis only took 32 hours to run on a computer, which makes me wonder how long the full analysis would take & why was there such a rush to get it done?

sixth & critically, the conclusion that mental processing speed is high and constant until age 60 relies only on the authors' choice of how to put a best-fit line on the data. the analysis used requires all the people to be divided into two or more different age groups. for error bar nerds: the data were fit with three straight lines for three age groups. but age is a continuous variable, so why did the authors not just fit a single, continuous curve?

well, listeners, i downloaded the data, sharpened Occam's razor & fit that single curve. it provides a very slightly worse explanation of the data, but that's what you would expected, as it is also a much less-complex explanation."

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How high?




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