Hacker News new | past | comments | ask | show | jobs | submit login

"We don't care if you object and irrespective of your views, this project is going ahead."

The EU seems to have done this for at least twenty-five years, the prime example being their stubborn insistence on monetary union despite the mountains of expert opinion saying that monetary union made no sense economically.




And those experts were pretty much on point. I doubt the EU will survive long with its attitude. I wouldn't mind, since something new is preferable to this.


This misses the point.

You could also say that monetary union between the US states makes no sense economically. The point is that the people decided to have a political union and to belong to the same country, the USA. Monetary union follows.

The aim is to have a federal union in Europe. In a way, going straight to monetary union is to 'force' further political union because they know full well that it requires it in order to work.

It's crucial to have the economics work but economics does not control culture and politics, it's the other way round.


> The aim is to have a federal union in Europe. In a way, going straight to monetary union is to 'force' further political union because they know full well that it requires it in order to work.

Sorry, but I disagree. There is no consensus whatsoever in the EU about a federal Union. There is not even consensus on a budgetary union (as in shared debt, not just having a shared currency) because it will reflect badly on states that currently have stronger economies in the EU: https://www.reuters.com/article/germany-lithuania/merkel-say...

Actually, to be fair, every time there was a popular referendum even the EU Constitution has been rejected by the population (it only passed later by the parliament): https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/2005_French_European_Constitut... https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/2005_Dutch_European_Constituti...


Ever closer political union has been the aim, publicly stated or not, since the early days of the treaty of Rome.

They know and knew that monetary union can only lead to further political union.

The main issue, or the benefit, is that it requires all countries to have a good governance. It will force Greece and friends to finally be serious.


> every time there was a popular referendum even the EU Constitution has been rejected by the population

That it was "rejected by the population" is a dishonest characterization. Referendums in Luxembourg and Spain were successful. Elected representatives in 16 other EU countries voted in favor of the Constitution. Yes, it was rejected by voters France and the Netherlands, and that killed the treaty, because establishing a Constitution requires unanimous support.

So, no, it wasn't rejected by "the population" (a term that it was always be inaccurate[1]). It was rejected by a minority. And the treaty being one that requires unanimous approval, failed because of that.

This Wikipedia page shows the full picture: https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Treaty_establishing_a_Constitu...

[1] Anytime there's a characterization in the form of "the people" (or "the American people") it's dishonest and inaccurate, because the "people" of any large enough group hold diverse-enough opinions that you simply cannot characterize them with a broad brush. (Unless of course, you conduct referendum in which the question is affirmed unanimously by everyone in the group with a 100% quorum. Which gets quickly almost-impossible as the group's size increases.)


> So, no, it wasn't rejected by "the population" (a term that it was always be inaccurate[1]). It was rejected by a minority. And the treaty being one that requires unanimous approval, failed because of that.

Uhm sorry no. Read the links. It was rejected by the majority of the voters both in France and the Netherlands.

What happened afterwards in France was to change it slightly and make it pass by parliamentary vote instead.

About the accuracy of the term "the population", I simply mean it "by the local rules for a nation wide referendum".


I meant a minority of the European people/countries. Whether you count by population, or by the number of countries.

(a) By number of states: 18 approved it, 2 rejected it, and the rest canceled/dropped efforts as it was effectively a failure (at that point).

(b) By population: Let's add together the populations of the 18 countries that approved of it, and the 2 that rejected it. I'm confident the total population of the 18 europhiles exceeds that of the 2 naysayers.

We don't know how things would have fared in the rest of the EU (that dropped/canceled referendums or legislative votes on this), but of those 20 countries, a majority of both people and countries were for the EU Constitution.


The big mistake the EU made was assuming: (i) that monetary union would foster political union, and (ii) the people of Europe actually wanted political union in the first place. I don't think either are true.

I think we more or less agree with each other, by the way. It's important that the political situation matches the economic situation. I just don't think you can use the economics to force the politics, if you see what I mean?


I think people want an economic bloc with free trade and travel. I don't think they want a new European government controlling their lives.


Monetary union will lead to deeper political union. There is no choice. It already has.


This is not the view of Ashoka Mody in his recent book Eurotragedy.


The fact is that the monetary union has brought closer political integration and will continue to do so because, again, that's the only way.

I think you're trying to ascribe more meaning to whatever book you've dropped the title of that it might have... (I haven't read that book but the author seems serious enough not to ignore facts)


I may be mistaken but it looks like you haven’t read the book but you’re confident in assuming I’ve somehow misunderstood it!

Here’s the relevant quote in full:

“British economist Nicholas Kaldor had warned as early as March 1971 that the fiscal governance system would deepen political divisions. In November 1997, Milton Friedman predicted that the euro’s flawed economics would “exacerbate political tensions by converting divergent shocks ... into divisive political issues.” The Europeans had it backward, Friedman concluded: “Political unity can pave the way for monetary unity. Monetary union imposed under unfavourable circumstances will prove a barrier to the achievement of political unity.””


[flagged]


It's not possible to downvote replies to your own comments, so you shouldn't accuse people of doing that.


Fair enough, let's leave it there.

p.s. I don't actually have the ability to downvote comments, so that'll be someone else who's doing that.


> The fact is that the monetary union has brought closer political integration and will continue to do so because, again, that's the only way.

there's another alternative: the entire thing self-destructs

which seems more likely at this point than full fiscal and political union


The Trumps and Farages of this world think that by repeating it again and again it will make it "seem more likely". But to me it seems more likely they will pass sooner than the Euro.

The reality is that France, Germany, the Netherlands, etc are not going back.


There is always another way. And if that is the official strategy, there should be another way. In fact, any way would be better by definition.




Guidelines | FAQ | Lists | API | Security | Legal | Apply to YC | Contact

Search: