Simple. Find your dot on about 10 PDFs, interpret a handful of weather variables, know the safety tipping points of each, don't get it wrong or you may be injured, and check back every 4 hours! Easy.
TBH, the NHC one is very good. Each storm has a "Forecast discussion" link with specific details on the things that specifically drove the forecast. The NWS publishes something similar for each area forecast, and it is often incredibly insightful.
It isn't necessarily as good as the best local weather coverage, but it might help to point you to which station is giving the best coverage.
And honestly, the local weather office forecast discussions are great, too. If they seem too dense with arcane language, that's actually something that ChatGPT does a great job of distilling. "Act like a professional meteorologist specializing in public speaking. Please read the following technical forecast discussion from NWS, and rephrase it to be more accessible to an audience that is educated, but not experts in meteorology."
Do you want sensational click-bait articles or do you want actual weather forecasts by people who understand the topic and know how to interpret the models? Take your pick. One is simple, the other is not.
Which is odd, considering how many games Hans played at 90-100% match for chess engine moves, which seems to be a lot more than other GMs, where typically their best games are in the 70% range. See Hikaru and other chess YT channels.
While it says Niemann’s improvement has been “statistically extraordinary.” Chess.com noted that it hasn’t historically been involved with cheat detection for classical over-the-board chess, and it stopped short of any conclusive statements about whether he has cheated in person. Still, it pointed to several of Niemann’s strongest events, which it believes “merit further investigation based on the data.” FIDE, chess’s world governing body, is conducting its own investigation into the Niemann-Carlsen affair.
I imagine everything is being analyzed but given that cheating in 11 online tournaments is enough to invalidate someone’s career it makes for an appropriate topic of article.
You’re comparing a measurement to a prediction (current temp to high temp).
But yes! It’s very annoying.
There’s not a clear and simple solution though. You could increase the daily high, but then hourly data would never show/predict the daily high. Unless you made the current hour prediction = current measurement. But what if the prediction for the hour is 90% chance of rain (starting at say XX:43), you wouldn’t want to just override that with 90°F and sunny.
Why do bonds being in tax advantages accounts? My gut would suspect the opposite, since on average stocks will have higher return so you'll want them getting the tax break.
Bonds have defined maturities and bond indexes are made up of a mix of short, medium and long term bonds. So over the course of time, old bonds mature and pay out (taxes due).
Equity indexes have no maturity date and can limit any taxable income to dividend only which get preferential treatment in terms of taxes.
You missed the entire point of the article – the products are going to ship when the products are going to ship (when they are ready). Yet he's committing repeatedly unforced errors by promising dates he can't cash. Ask it this way: What's the benefit to promising a date early, especially one you can't hit and sully the launch of?
Ruins the entire point of being secret as shit too.
Hi HN, this is my post which primarily serves to visually show the price umbrella of the iPad. It does that by showing the iPhone and iPod lines and explaining the methods Apple used to remove the price umbrella from those product lines.
I'd like your feedback, not only on the content, but also the site or anything I overlooked. Thanks HN.
(1) Within a product, does it make sense that pricing has to converge near zero? Adding a notebook analysis may illustrate that this is not always the case.
(2) It may be interesting to look at the interaction between products, rather than focusing within each product and answering what drives the purchasing decision for each product. For example - it seems as though the iPod would fit nicely into the "Insert iPad Mini Here" triangle; however, are the purchasing drivers for the iPad and iPod congruent? Would one trade up or trade down between the iPod and iPad purely on price?
Duh, makes total sense. I was initially unsure where he'd fit in at Google (Google+?, Android?, Gmail?), but as soon as I read the headline I thought "Duh". His angel investments have been super strong and his willingness to share his life has been inspiring. Digg and Milk didn't ever turn into Instagram, but he kept making great moves forward.
Kevin - keep sharing your thoughts online and to the community, it has served you well and will continue to do so. Congrats.
(Sorry for the lovefest HN, but that's how I feel.)
Excellent point. The title of the article which he craftily links to is "The Odd World of Digital Groupies". It's 2.5 years old and has the bolded subtitle " Obsessed fans spend hours online trying to talk to their rock gods—and sometimes, the efforts turn toxic. Doree Shafrir goes inside the bizarre world of extreme internet fandom."
Right. I hope this isn't Gruber's intent, given that he monetizes his brand (i.e. him) by selling shirts and appearing at conferences. You can't really dictate the terms for interaction when you when you're such a public figure.
If he is saying what GP is suggesting, well, that's the problem with building a cult of personality around yourself: people might buy in a bit too fervently.
Gruber used to have a lot of interesting stuff to say.
In the same way that Jay Leno used to be one of the funniest comics in the 80s and now resorts to Jaywalking to keep his audience, I find DF to be a little boring, consisting of mainly claim chowder, Android schadenfreude, and the occasional long winded rant essay that goes nowhere.
I'm struck by the self-awareness that it takes to NOT have a marketing event for the announcement of your new operating system. Wow.
Also, fascinating how the iPhone is the first step in the halo effect but at the same time is also the most profitable. They are building on the halo effect and lock in of the iPhone/iPad to the Mac ecosystem.
