My personal favorite is Richard McElreath's "Statistical Rethinking", which covers regression and multilevel modeling from a Bayesian approach but doesn't assume too much formal math background.
is there any introduction before this books, I've read first chapter (looking from first chapter, I already have a feeling this is a good book) and author saying there is a substantial idea that is missing from a lot of introduction statistics books (isn't necessarily wrong).
Yeah I'm familiar with the area (about to move from South Bend to Chicago). There's a lot of effort going into building a startup scene in South Bend, both around the Innovation and Ignition Park developments and at Notre Dame. At least a few of the companies that I'm familiar with (Vennli, Carextech) have gotten traction; the existing economy there is pretty manufacturing-heavy, especially around auto, appliances (Whirlpool) and medical devices (J&J has pretty big presence in Warsaw).
I might try and work through the area colleges (St. Mary's, Notre Dame, IU South Bend) if you're looking to recruit there.
awesome. just curious, are you moving to chicago because south bend didn't offer what you wanted or just a great opportunity in chicago?
familiar with vennli and other startups/folks working in the innovation space and we're set to get a small office at innovation park actually. we're making a bit that the area will continue to grow and we're happy to test hiring more of our team there who will be in close touch with palo alto hq. we're hitting up notre dame alumni to fill a lead engineer role, but we'll take a look at surrounding schools as well.
Inter Alia, this article is another piece of evidence that a lot of pretty smart people are stuck in jobs that aren’t very complex. The accumulated cost of this to the rest of us is quite high...
Unfortunately mandatory parking minimums are written into the zoning codes of most American cities, leading to the surfeit of parking in lots of places. Undoing this will take no small amount of work.
Another software developer refusing to work in or understand an existing working system and instead asking for "the big rewrite", which assuredly will get finished on time, with all of the features of the existing system and none of the problems.
"The big rewrite" could be adopting the system of a different country that has more desirable outcomes. I only know a little about zoning, but from what I've heard Japanese zoning is rather simple and doesn't seem to produce endless sprawl.
It’s interesting to see the America's most prominent libertarian economist state that capital markets aren’t adequately funding risky business ventures...
David Friedman (anarcho-capitalist)'s comment on market failures is that they do happen, but what might be called government failures also happen, and are probably a worse problem.
"Individual actors usually receive most of the benefit and pay most of the cost of their actions, making market failure the exception, not the rule. On the political market individual actors—voters, politicians, lobbyists, judges, policemen—almost never bear much of the cost of their actions or receive much of the benefit. Hence market failure, the exception on the private market, is the rule on the political market."
This is an excellent point, and a place where libertarians and socialists have some agreement, that we have a wealth/power distribution that fails to encourage social innovation. I think the argument is mostly how it got this way, and how it should be addressed.
Socialists are concerned with giving more, and libertarians are concerned with taking less, but bureaucrats and plutarchs are aligned in taking more and giving less.
I tip my cap to all the loyal users of MoviePass out there; I have long waited for the day when investors would be willing to subsidize my hobbies and you've been living in that world for months. Bravo, ladies and gentleman.
I have to wonder, though, why you'd want to go to the movies regularly these days, with all the dreck that Hollywood has been putting out in recent years. Maybe it's time for you guys to hit the $1.99 rentals on YouTube/Amazon/iTunes more often.
To get out of the house with my girl and not spend a fortune.
To use it as an excuse to join other members and see more films with new friends.
To get out of the hot summer sun and enjoy a few hours of entertainment inside a nice cool theater.
To simply enjoy blowing movie pass investor money that they were too dumb to hang onto because it’s hard to spot a unicorn and pets.com was taken this cycle.
I would have agreed when I was a kid and a huge TV was a 27" 480i CRT. But now you can get a 85" 4k HDR screen at home, I'd say you can come close. Better than many theaters.
Indeed. It is the same as saying that one should never go out for a walk, because you can easily walk some rounds around the table in the comfort of your own house.
You can still have the "out", like Dinner and coffee at a restaurant. But the specific watching a movie part is "in" whether it is at a theater or your living room.
You committed the fallacy of posting a fallacy without support.
In a theater, you sit in the dark, if you are a good citizen, you don't talk. 90% of any social piece to going to a movies happens at dinner before or after, which you can still do and then go home to watch a movie.
The only problem is right now they are targeting business, but I hope to see a consumer version one day and if they can get it lighter, comfortable for 3 hours of continuous wearing and can replace a theatre screen.
I don't see why it can't replace a TV or movie experience.
Can't argue taste! I really like the recent blockbusters (eg all the marvel stuff). The more ridiculous, the better! Looking around at the cinema I feel like I'm not the only one with that opinion. Usually when I go watch some Iron Man 8 kind of movie the room is filled with faces of eager anticipation.
Going to the movies is just asking for a talker or phone user to ruin it. Most of the major chains have a warning about it, but it continues to happen on a regular basis. You have the options of either risking a fist fight or missing a good 10+ minutes looking for staff.
I want a "movie theater" that is essentially a private room with a TV that me, the spouse, and kids can watch it in. We can also pause for bathroom breaks and get food ordered/delivered. That's often why I just wait for the BluRay release and watch at home, the experience at the big chains is terrible.
I don't know if Alamo Drafthouse is in your area, but it's a movie theater with a very strict no talking/phones policy. If you violate that policy they promptly kick you out of the theater.
Watching movies there has really made me appreciate the benefits of the big screen again.
I’ll state it here again, but if anyone reading this lives within a reasonable distance to an Alamo Drafthouse, it is absolutely worth it.
I live in Dallas where we’re fortunate to have a half dozen of them. They’re all great, the food is excellent, staff is great, and on and on and on. I love this place and I go at least once a month probably and more during busy months.
The downside of course being the constant background noise of chewing, drinking, glasses clattering, lights under every table, and subpar quality projectors.
Yeaaaa I go once a week and this is not a thing. I think this place literally has it all.
- Never noticed chewing / drinking / glasses
- The lights under the table is so dull I honestly don't even know where it is or how they even see it. I've looked under the table and can't seem to find it
- This may just be me but their projectors are just fine
I have visited theatres that perfectly match your description in Taiwan, with the exception that the film has to be out on DVD. You choose the size of room you would like (some rooms are large enough for parties, some are comfortable for two), pay for the amount of time you would like to book the room (with discounts for longer amounts of time or late night bookings), and choose from their library of DVDs. You are shown to your room and the movie is played. There is a phone to call the front desk and you can order food and drinks to be brought to your room. The chain I visited a few times is called U2MTV [1].
Talking is maybe more of an issue, but taking a phone call in the middle of a movie doesn't work around me. It has only happened once, near the emotional peak of The Aviator in 2004. The theater wasn't that crowded, and after just a few seconds I yelled "Take it outside, buddy!" across twenty seats. He took it outside. I was ready to stand up and yell again, and walk over to him and yell again, if necessary. If he's ruining the movie for me, I'm sure as hell going to ruin his phone call. But that was the only time it has ever happened to me, and I see a medium number of movies. I saw an unusual 14 movies in my three month MoviePass membership before I canceled, with zero phone calls or talkers.
Pointless jobs abound in both the public and private sectors, but I think these articles resonate because so many white collar workers are largely occupied with projects that will be cancelled before they're finished or whose end product will eventually be ignored by the people who are intended to use it. Most companies just aren't managed very well...
You're welcome, America. Will anyone really miss Buffalo Wild Wings? Or Golf? I suspect we drink just as much beer, it's just more craft beer than Sam Adams or Corona.
The 'Millennials don't like breasts' angle is a new take. I'd figured that one was a constant.
I think Millennials realize that they can see boobs any time they want, and don't need to go to a crappy, overpriced restaurant to ogle the topboob of a stressed, exploited, overworked waitress.
My guess is it's more along the lines of "male Millenials have realized that going to a restaurant explicitly to oggle the waitresses' breasts will make them appear crude to their peers"
The 'rise of passive investors' creates more opportunities for activist investors to discover overvalued/undervalued stocks. Index funds aren't affecting the prices of individual stocks. So long as the opportunity exists to make money buy buying/shorting stocks, someone will be buying/shorting stocks.
Moreover, executive compensation is still overwhelmingly set via earnings-per-share targets in a fairly transparent manner. If there's a conspiracy afoot to miss targets to benefit an industry sector, the authors haven't identified it.
I like the Matt Levine treatment of this question ('Are Index Funds Communist?'):
