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> Occam's razor is a rule of thumb and an aesthetic boon, but nothing more.

Occam's razor is a bit more than that. It isn't just that given a theory X and a theory Y = X + ε, both of which fit the facts, you should prefer X because it's "cleaner" or more aesthetically pleasing or whatever. You should prefer X because you can prove it is more likely to be true.

https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Solomonoff%27s_theory_of_induc...




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