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Why is it "much more likely"? There are plenty of very plausible scenarios in which Snowden docs could be the source.

He could have done a worse job encrypting them than he thought he did.

He could have purposely handed it over:

for revenge because the US is trying to hunt him down;

because Russia threatened to hand him back to the US;

because Russia tortured him for the keys;

etc.




Occam's razor. We know that someone recently stole the exact information they are complaining about being exposed. This is probably how the agents were compromised.

A lying anonymous government source (from one of the governments that has anonymously lied to us so many times in the past) is far more plausible than some bizarre 2 year delay and subsequent cryptographic breakthrough by the "Chinese and Russians" (who are now allied?).


Occam's razor isn't an excuse to just presume your biases.


Presuming bias isn't an excuse to not mention logical flaws.




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