On: Stanford to host 100-year study on artificial inte...

[gweinberg]

Nobody thinks Moore's law will last another 30 years.

[dudus → gweinberg]

Nobody thought it would last till here

[jblow → dudus]

See this graph:

http://www.extremetech.com/wp-content/uploads/2013/08/CPU-Sc...

The green line was the only one still going, and it plateaued about a year ago (you'd see that in a newer graph).

[dysfunction → jblow]

The green line is the only one that Moore's law is about. Power consumption plateauing is a good thing, clock speed was never going to be the primary driver of performance increases long-term, and instruction-level parellelism (green line) is not a measure of performance-per-clock-cycle.

[marcosdumay → gweinberg]

Well, I think it's already dead for some good 3 or 4 years. It just didn't start stinking yet.

But that's no reason to think that it'll take more than 100 years.

[maaku → gweinberg]

There's plenty of room on the bottom.