I didn't wish to bring in Bayesian approaches here so as to keep it simple. You are correct in your assertion about likeliness given a priori intuition, and I agree with the linking.
But, there is a stark contrast between leveraging prior information to strengthen your estimates and stating that prior information serves as evidence or correlates with outcomes, which was my original assertion.
Either way, I'm a big fan of leveraging common sense (viz Bayesian approaches) so I can't disagree.
But, there is a stark contrast between leveraging prior information to strengthen your estimates and stating that prior information serves as evidence or correlates with outcomes, which was my original assertion.
Either way, I'm a big fan of leveraging common sense (viz Bayesian approaches) so I can't disagree.