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It's simple. People don't like the honest answer.

As a developer, I have pressure to keep my estimate down. I can give you a guaranteed date with few problems, but the project is going to end up more time-consuming than what another developer is going to estimate.

The good news is that I will usually significantly beat my estimates under this system. However, I will then be accused of padding my estimates and will be given more aggressive targets, some of which I will miss.

The best way to combat this is to give me a team that has worked together on multiple projects within the domain, and account for changes and ambiguities as part of the process.




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