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I personally suspect that there are no strategies that are stable over multiple generations. Otherwise one would have emerged. Basically that there is a kind of political thermodynamics that destroys all nations, no matter how great.

Peter Turchin has developed an interesting family of theories about the rise and fall of great powers. He wrote a popular account, War and Peace and War, which I reviewed here:

http://chester.id.au/2012/05/14/review-war-and-peace-and-war...

As a footnote, I found why he used the term 'Asabiya'. It comes from an earlier historian, Ibn al-Khaldun.




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