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> Or incompetent people are successful because the barrier to success is highly arbitrary and only somewhat correlates to competence which is much less encouraging.

I think this is the case, which on the surface can be depressing. But it can also mean that if you can just stick it out longer than most other people do, and plant more seeds, it's only a matter of time until you get lucky.




Yes, but the question is should you optimise for scattershot by planting many low quality seeds or concentrate on quality?


Plant a bunch of high-quality seeds :)


The question assumes that it's either not feasible or practical to do that. That may or may not be the case, depending on the definition and context of "high-quality".




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