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I'm not very convinced by the analysis presented in this post, but it seems fairly clear to me that at some point in the (near?) future people will start to think of social web services as more of a commodity rather than some big shiny gold rush that we all have to be part of.

Maybe then we can stop throwing piles of money at people who want to build walled gardens and go back in the direction of people hosting their own content for others to peruse.

(Yes, I'm predicting the failure of Google+ as well as Facebook and all the other me-too services like mass photoblogging services and all that other crap.)

We've spent too much time and effort writing code to help people push their content into companies that will claim the right to own it. Let's make tools that help people express themselves in ways that benefit everyone and that ensure creators retain ownership of the work they create.




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