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"We are prone to overestimate how much we understand about the world and to underestimate the role of chance in events." -- Daniel Kahneman. Thinking, Fast and Slow.

I returned, and saw under the sun, that the race is not to the swift, nor the battle to the strong, neither yet bread to the wise, nor yet riches to men of understanding, nor yet favour to men of skill; but time and chance happeneth to them all. -- Ecclesiastes 9:11




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