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Unthinkable Futures (kk.org)
31 points by Rod on Jan 23, 2009 | hide | past | favorite | 19 comments



Some of these, like Video phones inspire a new sexual revolution whereby everybody sits at home doing rude things electronically with everyone else. Productivity slumps; video screens get bigger and bigger. are already happening. It's called skype, msn, etc.

Others, like News is understood to be a creation of our attention and interests (rather than "the truth") and news shows are redesigned as "thinktanks," where four interesting minds from different disciplines are asked the question, "So what do YOU think happened today? don't seem so unthinkable.


I'd stick the second in the first category.


ooh I really like this one:

>* DIRECTED TAXES -- Software gains allow a certain portion of taxes to fall to the discretion of the payer. John Public can assign X amount of his taxes toward one service, to the exclusion of another. It's a second vote that politicians watch closely.


That would be an interesting experiment to conduct, although I fear the outcome slightly.

It would truly suck to not have any army should the need for one properly arise. As well, culture must lose in some form without galleries for art and dance, for instance.

Wonder how long it would take to set up a web app to test the theory...


eh negotiation works ~15x better than war (http://www.economist.com/world/international/displaystory.cf...)


As George Washington said, "to secure peace, we must always be prepared for war."

We all want peace, but to achieve it, we must be prepared for war- a well regulated militia and armed private citizens can go a long way toward this (and is essential), but a professional military is an important element,too.


Does it work when one side has no leverage because they defunded their military into extinction?


They still have people and can buy weapons with their superior economy.


I think states which pursue this strategy will find that with an aggressive enemy "just buy a competent military" is not something that you can accomplish in less than a generation.

How many European nations could "buy weapons" and then pull off a minor shooting war against a local tinpot dictator whose military budget would be lost in Toyota's R&D expenditures? (e.g. Save Kosovo... without calling the US.)

I think the answer to the rhetorical question is "exactly one", although I can name two others which would actually have the capability of showing up in time to drop a bomb or two, to no strategic effect. The others are universally incapable of even getting to the theatre.

And if Russia decided to get frisky and send in the tanks? Most nations in Europe would fold about as fast as Georgia did -- their sole means of defense is not being "acceptable, if regrettable, losses" in Washington.


You can always hire mercenaries.


I seem to recall that the reason mercenaries (at least in the US) are viable is because they hire ex-military. So most/all of the expensive training is done. Furthermore, mercenaries are not so good at things like air forces and carrier groups and artillery (v. large capital investments that lack adaptability to smaller situations).


Tell your senator to vote against subsidizing mercenaries with tax payers money!


As George Washington said, "to secure peace, we must always be prepared for war."

We all want peace, but to achieve it, we must be prepared for war- a well regulated militia and armed private citizens can go a long way toward this (and is essential), but a professional military is an important element,too.


That's a perfect example of the type of thinking I would worry about.


A highly successful new magazine -- Ordinary People, edited by the nonagenarian Studs Terkel -- focuses only on people who have never done anything in particular to deserve attention.

this would be a hilarious subversion of celebrity worship.


Subversion? Dude that is celebrities!


...that's kind of the joke... >_>


Would it not also be the world's first mag edited from beyond the grave?


In many ways these are more interesting as windows into the minds of the writers than into the future.

Part of the exercise should be imagining things that are contrary to one's beliefs and expectations.




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