On: An election forecast that’s 50-50 is not “giving up”

[wenwolf]

If a modern US election went far outside that that would just mean some fool was burning a huge amount of money and probably to no purpose as it would cause a response from donors on the other side who would like an outcome but also aren't going to throw money away.

[skybrian → wenwolf]

It's less likely for the presidency, but for other offices, it's often the case that an incumbent has only token competition.