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Very much back of the napkin here:

30 year US Treasurys are currently ~2.7%. Assuming someone saves 10% of their pre-tax income each month between the ages of 25 and 55, at that interest rate, they can look forward to 5 times their average annual income to sustain them through their last 20+ years of life. That's a 75% cut in income. Stocks are theoretically higher yield, but as others have argued, normal people shouldn't have to worry about stocks, and more importantly, there's a justified fear of market crash, which could be... appreciably lower return than Treasurys.




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