On: Ask HN: Is anyone doing anything cool with tiny la...

[kortilla]

Right, but if 55% is avg over the last few years, “buy stock” is going to be correct more than not.

https://www.crestmontresearch.com/docs/Stock-Yo-Yo.pdf

[Etheryte → kortilla]

I think this is a good highlight of why context and reality checks are incredibly important when doing work like this. At first glance, it might look like 55% is a really good result, but in the previous year, a flat buy every day strategy would've been right 56.7% of the time.