I did not see anything about how the estimated time to human level performance of an AI was estimated and what the error bounds might be on those estimates?
Thank you for your reply. The time to human level is simply the time it took between the initial release of the website to when an AI system reached human level performance for that benchmark. :) I am in the process of adding sources for all "solved" dates... Here is for instance source for the Winograd challenge human level performance: