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> Most people will never use a password manager

Prediction: in 10 years nearly everyone will be using a password manager; it will come with their OS (Android or iOS) with browser plugins for other OS’s, and the integration with mobile apps and mobile web will be so tight that people will not even realize they are using passwords, most of the time.

Apple just massively revamped their own manager in the latest iOS release. They already have pretty good integration with mobile web and with App Store apps.

In the next couple of years I expect to see pw manager integration made a firm requirement for App Store apps, and I expect to see web standards for account signup and login that make pw managers reliable.

I suspect Google will follow suit although I am not familiar with Android’s capabilities in that area.

So in a few years you will not type an email address and password to sign up for things; the OS will prompt you: “foo.com is asking you to sign up, would you like to do this automatically?” and if you respond in the affirmative you’ll get a site-specific email address and password automatically created and stored for you, and that will be used whenever you want to log in. Recovery will shift to a mobile account centric workflow (Apple ID or Google account) rather than email based password reset links.

If a data breach is reported the pw manager app can notify you and give you a one-button-click experience to reset your password.

The downside is that if you get canceled by Apple or Google it will be a special kind of hell to recover.




Can you imagine a world where instead of sites prohibiting pasting into password fields, they prohibit hunt-and-pecking passwords? It's beautiful.


In 10 years time everyone will be using passkeys, not passwords.


And then losing access to everything when moronic automated Google systems ban your account for $REASON with no chance to appeal it.

I recently ran into an interesting problem -- my Microsoft account (used as a spam lightning rod) borked a passkey stored on a Fido token and refused a paswordless sign in. Same thing happened with a second backup token made by a different company. If I didn't have a password fallback, and that account was important, I would have a massive problem with no way to solve it. But the world has not yet gone completely insane, so I fired up my trusty KeePassXC and was in in less than a minute.


Well, they'd have to ban your account and destroy your device with the passkey before you could change it. I don't think they have that power (yet).


Hahahaha good one.

I love the idea of passkeys; I hate the experience of passkeys, especially when it comes to having to reach for my phone to log into a desktop web site.


In 10 years time we'll have as many “why you should never use passkeys” on HN as we have for JWT nowadays.


Please, for the love of god, no.


It certainly looks that way. It's either going to be cell phone integration, or ER GLASSES(ex meta raybans). I would like to see the incorporation of a ring(real unintrusive wearable NFC I can activate or press<for presence confirmation> with my thumb by just raising my hand above the keyboard{For illustration, you ever seen guys spin their wedding band with their thumb as a twiddling activity??}).




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