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Really? You believe that people fall for Nigerian scams and click on shady ads on the Web, but not that framing a price increase as a discount (a tactic practically every grocery store in the world uses) would make many people feel better about it? I think you're drastically exaggerating the average person's resistance to marketing.



A very small proportion of the general population falls for Nigerian scams, so I don't think that's a good example.


I still don't think it's reasonable to say that "I have a hard time believing anyone would fall for a Nigerian scam." Enough people do it to make it hugely profitable for the scammers.

And falling for a Nigerian scam requires a much higher level of gullibility and a higher level of buy-in from the victim than merely letting somebody else set your expectations with careful phrasing.

My point isn't that everyone would fall for it, but if there are enough people who fall for more blatant scams that you can build a hugely profitable business off them, there's certainly a considerable number who would fall for this.


What percentage of people fall for Nigerian scams? One per hundred thousand? One per million? One per ten million?

A marketing campaign with that rate of success would be an abysmal failure.


See my earlier reply to mikeash: http://news.ycombinator.com/item?id=4162587

In short, enough people respond to a Nigerian scam to make it one of the country's biggest industries. And that requires constant, active participation in the face of a blatant scam that gets less plausible at every step. Passively allowing your perception to be shaped by how an idea is presented is many orders of magnitude easier.




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