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Probabilities are not physical laws of the universe. A disease having a 0.01% chance in no way is an actual measure of you having or not. If everyone with cancer wrote it off based on probability many more people would go undiagnosed



I guess I should go further and suggest actually exposing conditional probabilities & flow charts, which is essentially how a lot of GPs triage diagnosis.

If you have these additional symptoms, it rules out X, and conditional probabilities are now Z..

If you tried a warm compress/ibuprofen then it rules out Y and your now looking at these probabilities.

Etc.

Right now you google stuff and get a WebMD page with a list of stuff varying from "its nothing" to "its cancer" without a lot of color ..




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