Think of it this way: the release of VS Code didn’t mean people suddenly stopped using or updating Emacs/Vim. VS Code simply offered a more polished, beginner-friendly way of setting up and building software projects than the old TUI editors.
In the same way, none of the “fancy-pip-replacement” projects will outright obsolete pip or conda. They’re just tools that can work a bit more intuitively for new users and provide a bit of polish/UX value - but their niche fills the exact same role as pip/conda: managing the set of binaries on your PATH.