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When I used to do A/B testing all results per traffic funnel averaged over time into cumulative results. The tests would run as long as they needed to attain statistical confidence between the funnels where confidence was the ratio of differentiation between results over time after discounting for noise and variance.

Only at test completion were financial projections attributed to test results. Don’t sugar coat it. Let people know up front just how damaging their wonderful business ideas are.

The biggest learning from this is that the financial projections from the tests were always far too optimistic compared to future development in production. The tests were always correct. The cause for the discrepancies were shitty development. If a new initiative to production is defective or slow it will not perform as well as the tests projected. Web development is full of shitty developers who cannot program for the web, and our tests were generally ideal in their execution.




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