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Gelsinger needs to resign / be fired by the board. He is not the right person leading Intel, he wasn't the right person leading VMware. He's a CEO with a superiority complex.

Remember that the US taxpayer has sunk over $8.5B in secured funding into Intel already and they are eligible for another $11B in USG loans [0]. Gelsinger should not be the guy in charge of this anymore. Hopefully the US calls into question the path Intel is on as it is a matter of national security in the long run.

[0] https://www.intel.com/content/www/us/en/newsroom/news/us-chi...




He's been in the job roughly 3.5 years. A turnaround that involves building multibillion dollar fab facilities takes longer than that. Many of the problems he is currently dealing with are still leftovers from the prior decade+ of mismanagement. I judge him on two things:

- Whether they execute successfully on the five nodes in four years

- Whether foundry is the right strategy and they successfully lure high profile customers with the opportunity to grow foundry into something that rivals TSMC and Samsung

We will know the answers to both of these by next year. But change horses now when neither question is answered yet? No, I wouldn't do that. Especially after the prior decade of constant CEO turbulence.


> He's been in the job roughly 3.5 years. A turnaround that involves building multibillion dollar fab facilities takes longer than that.

Yet mission accomplished in the first 11 months when they paid him 150mil in bonuses.


Don’t forget when Jim Keller was senior VP (2018-2020) he was tasked with diagnosing the Intel’s rut and shipwrighting its future. His solution was to sell the fabs as he proclaimed them an albatross, for this he was forced out.

Gelsinger came in and with clownish bravado establishing Intel would pivot to as a third party fab service, choosing the path of maximum pain.

We know the answers now: the global delays, defective product generations. The problems Gelsinger faces are the rearing wall of hubris.


I’m not sure destroying the only significant potential advantage Intel had/(might still have) over its competitors would have been the smartest thing even in hindsight.


The problem is Intel will be judged against the speed of SMIC and other companies, which grows much faster. I understand it’s a completely different game in China, and they have a bigger government backing, but unfortunately 3.5 years is a very long timeline nowadays in today’s competition.


Glesinger is laying off the sales and R&D force he envisioned.

To your questions:

-Are they on track? From everything I've read they're behind and the clock is running out quickly. Intel can't even build a stable product right now and they're about to try and sweep it under the rug. But the concern is meeting some hand-wavy marketing goal?

- The US needs US foundry because of national security interests. That's why the money is there. If foundry isn't/wasn't a strategy Intel has pursued then we're way too far down this path than compared to the node unicorn.

We already know the answers to these questions, because Intel has fallen flat on its face for the last 3 years. I'll give Gelsinger some level of time to make changes, but he didn't put Intel on the right path after his first year: which is more than enough time. And if it's not, then Intel is a failure not worth chasing because it's all rot at the core.

Look at what Gelsinger did at VMware. Nothing other than create, as Sir Topham Hatt says: "Confusion and delay!". They brought about and chased dumpster fire product lines for years and Gelsinger put them on the path to stagnate and get swept up into Broadcom's financial shell game.

You're giving Gelsinger a lot of credit for making zero notable improvements in Intel. And they are where they are right now because of the choices Gelsinger made while he's been in the seat. I'm sorry but sunk cost fallacy isn't a great strategy for Intel right now.


>Intel has fallen flat on its face for the last 3 years

Near as I can tell, Intel has been falling flat on its face since the 10nm debacle started in 2015. They never recovered from that and it's been one problem after another ever since.


Intel is a serial fall on it's facer since the 90s. It's just one huge blunder after another. The cash cow keeping them afloat wasn't even their idea they wanted to bet it all on Itanium. They bought a strong mobile SoC starter and poured billions into it starting a decade before iPhone/Android and unceremoniously pissed it a way just as those were exploding, so they could concentrate on Atom. Then they have been strategically sitting around with their thumbs up their asses on GPU/GPGPU for decades.


> Remember that the US taxpayer has sunk over $8.5B in secured funding into Intel already and they are eligible for another $11B in USG loans

This is purely so the US can secure a strategic resource ahead of the East China unification wars in a few years, lets not pretend it has anything to do with retaining jobs.




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