Imagine looking back on the earth's history from a billion years in the future. There will be a divide around now between a few billion years before when biological life was the most advanced thing going on and after that when AI life was. It's in a different category to the other tech hypes. And I don't really see any possible way that it won't happen(?)
The question is when exactly do we get to human level intelligence on all tasks (agi)? Is it going to be GPT5? GPT6? Or has the performance improvements saturated already? It makes a huge difference in terms of your investment and even career decisions whether you expect it to happen next year or 10 years from now.
Fair enough although some people do doubt it. I guess zooming in AI will gradually exceed human abilities in different areas like it's already much better at chess and still rubbish at going down to the shop to get a pint of milk. I'm not sure how the plays into ten year investment and career plans. There's probably a lot of opportunity at the moment for startups to take ChatGPTs abilities and apply them to human tasks involving written language.
