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51% odds of the ARC AGI Grand Prize being claimed by the end of next year, on Manifold Markets.

https://manifold.markets/JacobPfau/will-the-arcagi-grand-pri...




This could also just be an indication (and I think this is the case) that many Manifold betters believe the ARC AGI Grand Prize to be not a great test of AGI and that it can be solved with something less capable than AGI.




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