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I think the impact of LLMs is both overhyped underestimated. The overhyping is easy to see: people predicting mass unemployment, etc., when this technology reliably fails very simple cognitive tasks and has obvious limitations that scale will not solve.

However, I think we are underestimating the new workflows this tech will enable. It will take time to search the design space and find where the value lies, as well as time for users to adapt to a different way of using computers. Even in fields like law where correctness is mission-critical, I see a lot of potential. But not from the current batch of products that are promising to replace real analytical work with a stochastic parrot.




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