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There's a huge difference in rates and how it affects markets between Canada and the US. I'd assume most US based loans have a lock in period of 25-30 years, but is basically unheard of to have Canadian rates locked in longer than 5 years for fixed mortgages. That means there's a bunch of mortgage renewals that will dramatically affect the amount of disposal income for these individuals that locked in low rates a few years ago. In the US, it's more about potential buyers holding out for cheaper rates. In Canada is more about owners that "suddenly" have dramatically higher servicing rates. It's not unlikely that people are paying 1000/mo extra post renewal.



My guess is that Canada, like the ECB, are also influenced by the FEDs rates because, you know, FX.




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