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Related, I was struck by a comment made by the respiratory specialist doctor Martin Tobin, during the George Floyd murder court case. He said less than 10% of smokers actually go on to get 'issues'. He was pushing back on the line that as a smoker, George Floyd was more prone to react badly to 'having a knee on his windpipe...' you know the rest.

I did rewind and listen again then look up what he was saying and indeed, my assumed knowledge of smoking was altered.

Apologies for my vagueness with 'issues', I don't want to under or over state what he said and right now I can't locate the exact sentence within the days of testimony.

This man... https://archive.is/x5MRY




For anyone curious, I found the relevant sentence. An astonishingly counterintuitive almost throwaway remark by a world's expert sent me on a deep dive on what else can and does cause lung problems. Dr Martin Tobin says it at 3h 02m 40s...

https://www.c-span.org/video/?510467-1/derek-chauvin-trial-d...


He said that less than 10% of smokers HAVE lung issues, not “eventually get” lung issues. Big, big difference.


Thanks for your input. You're rephrasing what I do say, but with capital letters. Not sure what your point is.


No, you said “go on to get issues”, I said “have issues”.

That is a difference.

Removed capitalisation because I’m against capital punishment. /s


What was your takeaway? Any added insights/reading?


I am aware there is a lot of complexity (obviously) in why people develop lung cancer, or any illness for that matter, but within that assumption was smoking being far worse than it actually is. Reading further, and this may also seem obvious written out in this simple form, the cancer numbers for people in homes using coal burning for cooking food varies hugely depending on the coal. And that the incidence of lung cancers in 'never-smokers' is rising rapidly globally.


Radon is scary, and surprisingly everywhere in some regions.


10% aren’t low odds when it comes to health issues.




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