> Do you think these step changes in autonomy have stopped? Why?
They feel like they are asymptotically approaching just a bit better quality than GPT-4.
Given every major lab except Meta is saying "this might be dangerous, can we all agree to go slow and have enforcement of that to work around the prisoner's dilemma?", this may be intentional.
On the other hand, because nobody really knows what "intelligence" is yet, we're only making architectural improvements by luck, and then scaling them up as far as possible before the money runs out.
They feel like they are asymptotically approaching just a bit better quality than GPT-4.
Given every major lab except Meta is saying "this might be dangerous, can we all agree to go slow and have enforcement of that to work around the prisoner's dilemma?", this may be intentional.
On the other hand, because nobody really knows what "intelligence" is yet, we're only making architectural improvements by luck, and then scaling them up as far as possible before the money runs out.
Both are sufficient even in isolation.