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I don’t really understand the long term plan, or maybe I don’t believe lawmakers understand where we are going long-term with this stuff.

We’re still in the very early days.

Unless the academic community really drops the ball, in 5 or so years they’ll be training models around the quality of the current state of the art on professors’ research clusters (probably not just at R1 universities).

I’d be shocked if, in the long term, anyone who can get access a library’s worth of text won’t be able to put together a useable model.

There’s nothing magical about our brains, so I imagine at some point you’ll be able to teach a computer to read and write with about as many books as it takes to teach a human. I mean maybe they’ll be, like, 10x as dumb as us. A typical American might read hundreds of books over the course of their life, what are they going to do, require a license to own more than a couple thousand e-books?




> I don’t really understand the long term plan

The long term plan for any lawmaker is winning the next election. Anything further in the future doesn't matter much.

The long term plan for incumbents here might be building a large moat by regulatory capture.

Maybe incumbents are helping lawmakers. Do ut des.


maybe I don’t believe lawmakers understand where we are going long-term with this stuff.

Wait, you're saying that a bunch of legislators who believe the Earth is 6000 years old may not have a valid perspective on complex technical matters? No. Say it isn't so.


I guess it always just seems weird to me when they see something correctly as a rapid and dramatic change, but they don’t play out the obvious trajectory, and then come up with restraints that only make sense in the context of current technical limitations.


> I don’t really understand the long term plan

My guess: everything that slows down ai development is good, because it gives society time to adapt.

(I think this plan is flawed, because it is easier to adapt to open research than to closed research)


> A typical American might read hundreds of books over the course of their life

Probably only if you count books like green eggs and ham.


Sure, but those kinds of books are explicitly intended as part of the path of learning to read, right?




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