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'A while now' being long enough that I might expect some notable impact on Google's business by now. I do agree it could just be too early.

My iPhone/iPod timeline is referring to the time it took for the iPod's sales to be severely impacted [1]. I'm not disputing that the iPod continued to exist for a long time, the iPod Touch wasn't discontinued until 2022, but it was a pretty meaningless part of Apple's business by that point.

1. https://i.insider.com/597b68f2b50ab162018b466b?width=1300&fo...




Blackberry chugged along with record profits for a couple of years after the iphone had already made them irrelevant.


Yea, this is a good example that it might just be too soon still to say.

There was a period where it was not obvious that the iPhone or Blackberry would become the dominant player in the field and it could be true with search and AI chat etc too.




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