I think apps are here to stay mostly because of modularization. Many of the common components of apps these days will be modularized and ported over to numerous libraries. This will make the time-sink risk of developing on a proprietary platform less significant.
App ecosystems however will continue to evolve over time. I see most of the big players having a median of about a 10yr foothold on the industry until the next player out innovates them and manages to gain significant market share.
In all likelihood however, we'll probably be way off. I should save my HN posts so I can laugh at myself in 20 years.
App ecosystems however will continue to evolve over time. I see most of the big players having a median of about a 10yr foothold on the industry until the next player out innovates them and manages to gain significant market share.
In all likelihood however, we'll probably be way off. I should save my HN posts so I can laugh at myself in 20 years.