> If Eliezer has already made all the strongest points, are people supposed to invent new ones?
I like this post because the rebuttal to “there’s a kind of cult of personality around this guy (1) where everybody just sort of agrees that he’s categorically correct to the extent that world leaders are stupid or dangerous not to defer to the one guy on policy” is “Yeah he really can see the future. The proof of that is he’s been blogging about a future that’s never come to pass for the longest time”
Yeah the thing about the future is that it's in the future? Considering all the people who say things like "AGI will take a century" and "superintelligence is impossible", like, Eliezer also did not call ChatGPT but this world surely looks more like the one he predicted than the one his detractors predicted. There's a reason so many of the people working at current AI orgs got into AI by reading Eliezer.
I like this post because the rebuttal to “there’s a kind of cult of personality around this guy (1) where everybody just sort of agrees that he’s categorically correct to the extent that world leaders are stupid or dangerous not to defer to the one guy on policy” is “Yeah he really can see the future. The proof of that is he’s been blogging about a future that’s never come to pass for the longest time”
1 https://www.lesswrong.com/posts/Ndtb22KYBxpBsagpj/eliezer-yu...