Those are beliefs, not bases for guarantee. You need to engineer in the guarantee and the only people beginning to do that are the ones being accused of believing ridiculous things. Intuition from previous events isn’t useful because those wars were fought at the level of intelligence that we have intuition for.
Covid was also ridiculous. People had no intuition for the level of growth. That’s what the book the black swan is all about. Some things don’t fit into our intuition, or imagination.
We see no aliens. Why did the AI not take them to the stars? Just one of them.
On wars and AI. The ones trying to protect us would have a harder job than those trying to kill us. The gloves would be off for the latter. It’s much easier to break things than keep them safe.
I can conceive of a good outcome but it’s not going to emerge from hopes and good wishes. There are definitely dangers and more people need to engage with them rather than belittle them.
On the other hand, we will breed such systems to be cooperative and constructive.
This whole notion that AI is going to destroy the economy (or even humanity!) is ridiculous.
Even if malicious humans create malicious AI, it'll be fought by the good guys with their AI. Business as usual, except now we have talking machines!
War never changes.