The Army is planning for a conflict with China–including shoring up blood supply

[ironyman]

https://www.defenseone.com/threats/2023/10/army-planning-conflict-chinaincluding-shoring-blood-supply/391137/

[pnpnp]

I’m not making predictions about anything, but part of their job is to prepare for worst-case scenarios.

[bigDinosaur → pnpnp]

That's true, although isn't the thing here that they plan for realistic worst-case scenarios, which is the scary part? There are probably lots of worse worst-case scenarios which they'll never do much preparation because they're so unlikely. War with China does not seem to be that unlikely.

[credit_guy → bigDinosaur]

> War with China does not seem to be that unlikely

Well, the more the US prepares for it, the more unlikely it is. Or, the best way to win a fight is to convince the other guy it's not worth fighting.

[V__ → bigDinosaur]

> because they're so unlikely

Or because the outcomes might be so bad, it's not worth it to prepare for it.

[Cacti → bigDinosaur]

you think war between two nuclear powers is likely?

[pnpnp → Cacti]

Playing devil’s advocate - this was thought to be a real possibility during the Cold War, and it seems like we came pretty close a few times during that period.

[yumraj → Cacti]

A nuclear war between two nuclear powers is different from a conventional war between two nuclear powers.

The former is, hopefully, unlikely unless one side feels there’s an existential crisis or a major loss. The latter is extremely likely.

Though the latter can definitely escalate into the former.

[P_I_Staker → pnpnp]

I predict world war 3