I don't think the general public has the attention span to keep several hundred Primer type titles being released all year round in their consciousness.
I think the big "change" will be streaming videos over DVD/Blu-Ray rather than everything suddenly becoming an Indie movie.
Blu-ray's introduction happend after digital distribution, and it's already 2/3 of the size ($2 billion vs. $3 billion). The people of the world still like physical disks. Give it another decade.
I think the big "change" will be streaming videos over DVD/Blu-Ray rather than everything suddenly becoming an Indie movie.