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Yeah but does it matter? Either that’s true or it isn’t. If it is true, we’ll (as usual) have ample time to migrate. With RSA though, it’s already today more complex, slower and about 8x larger key sizes. And the cryptanalysis track record is afaik (please correct me) much more successful than ECC, so it’s “higher risk” that the timeline gets pushed forward or that new patches are needed to avoid bad parameter choices.

> So it might be just RSA and discrete logs today but a requirement for pointlessly long EC keys will be along soon.

It wouldn’t be pointless if computers can crack those sizes. It’d only be pointless if cryptanalysis can exploit structure to reduce the effective entropy, no?




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