You're the one thats willfully omitting the fact that it was well explained to the electorate _ahead_ of Election Day.
The script was literally published in the news prior to november [1]. There will be a "Red Mirage" as Republicans outvote Democrats in in-person voting. Then the next day as states are allowed to count absentee ballots that lead will be eroded (and sometimes overturned).
> Your second point is moot -- while election counts are not finalized and certified on election night
It isn't though. This is how Florida got called for Gore. The result wasn't actually finalized when the call was made. The methods are exactly the same in 2020 as before; it's just when I've got 100 outstanding absentee ballots and I have 150 in-person votes for Trump and 140 for Biden there's no confidence in a claim that either will win.
The other main issue is that the races were called typically with exit polling. Only 40% of the electorate voted not on election day for 2016 and that grew to 70% in 2020. Exit polling is not reliable when you're taking a biased sample of 1/3 of the population.
You're the one thats willfully omitting the fact that it was well explained to the electorate _ahead_ of Election Day.
The script was literally published in the news prior to november [1]. There will be a "Red Mirage" as Republicans outvote Democrats in in-person voting. Then the next day as states are allowed to count absentee ballots that lead will be eroded (and sometimes overturned).
> Your second point is moot -- while election counts are not finalized and certified on election night
It isn't though. This is how Florida got called for Gore. The result wasn't actually finalized when the call was made. The methods are exactly the same in 2020 as before; it's just when I've got 100 outstanding absentee ballots and I have 150 in-person votes for Trump and 140 for Biden there's no confidence in a claim that either will win.
The other main issue is that the races were called typically with exit polling. Only 40% of the electorate voted not on election day for 2016 and that grew to 70% in 2020. Exit polling is not reliable when you're taking a biased sample of 1/3 of the population.
[1]: https://www.reuters.com/article/us-usa-election-mirage-expla...