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Where's your evidence?

AI content will surpass human content in quality and quantity. Moreover, it will enable vast numbers of people to do things they were previously unable to do due to budget, time, resources, depth of talent, opportunity cost, etc.

Meta point: I've never seen so many smart people so bearish about the future. The science fiction dreams and utopias we've celebrated since our childhoods might actually be feasible now, and yet so many are wearing frowns.




It'll surpass human content in quantity by a lot almost definitionally and in quality probabilistically.

But I'll have to read AI content on both sides of that probability.


> yet so many are wearing frowns.

I think the phrase "if it seems to good to be true it probably is" is one way (among many) to interpret the scepticism.

I think that it's easy to jump to conclusions about the implications of this technology. Towards either over-optimism or over-pessimism.

Expect the worst and welcome the best seems as good approach as any?


People are bearish for 2 reasons IMHO.

LLMs are in many people’s opinion overhyped. Their capabilities are overhyped.*

People don’t trust the powers to be to use AI to benefit the masses. Instead of the Star Trek-like utopias, we are more likely to get Blade Runner-like dystopias.

* Tech has a real “hustler culture” problem, I guess it was always a part of tech culture, but with the advent of cryptocurrency it really exploded. With the implosion of crypto (and real people losing a lot of real money), all the hype people need something to hawk. “AI” is that something, it’s the new “blockchain”.


I am very concerned about the future of jobs and workers.

Our capitalistic society is salivating at the idea of cheapening the cost of production by eliminating all the creative and generative work that workers make. The capitalist class doesn't care who gets hurt or what gets destroyed as long as they make more money.

Unfortunately the people that are hurt the most are the middle and working class folks who use their skills to create things, make money, and immediately spend it. These are the folks that keep the whole system running by using their money to buy more goods.

> I've never seen so many smart people so bearish about the future. The science fiction dreams and utopias we've celebrated since our childhoods might actually be feasible now, and yet so many are wearing frowns.

As it stands we aren't heading towards utopia, we are running head first to a bleak dystopia; where critical thought and creativity is authorized only to the algorithms and probability machines of the wealthy and powerful. While the rest of us are relegated to cheap, often dangerous, labor.

If we had support systems: Universal healthcare, wages, education, etc. I might be more supportive, but we don't because capitalism.




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