I think the cat is out of the bag. Once people.know that these things can be made, they will seek to do it themselves
How do you think that 'they' will stop that?
At best they can do a holding pattern that keeps people a couple years away, but I mean like, what are they going to do, ban semi conductor fabrication?
You think stasi like societal control is abolished, that it doesn't exist in the western countries in one way or another? That current tech developments is not controlled and people are being fed utter bs things like Moore's law, so they would believe it? Just look at other developing countries and watch their output and you'll immediately see that the whole thing is controlled from the top down. These developing countries' population are not 100% regulated/forced into a mold, thankfully, but they will be (hope they f up this status quo and behead those that force this onto masses).
People snitch on other people just for the kicks of it or because they can excerpt some sense of power out of it. So there is your control. What percent of the population is enough to regulate the rest, to trip someone early enough to siderail his ambitions or projects that would rearrange things for the better? 1-2%?
Plus when strange things start to appear out of nowhere, like a talking dog or people with fluffy tails, well, then you gonna have visitors.
I’m not sure you want to find out but it probably goes something like taking your computers away from you, using government controlled AI to monitor your movements etc...or, restrictions on the classes of device that people can access. So a high-end graphics card will be treated like a weapon.
I actually can see this kind of thing happening sooner than we think, thanks to ideas like yours.
The government will team up with corporations and they will do the “research” and provide for us and we will be at their mercy with regards to technology we can access.
People will actually be asking for this pretty soon once the general public get wind of the dangers we are facing, it’s really not hard to believe. Look at covid lockdowns and times that hysteria by 10x.
Nice dystopia…this might end a lot more like 1984 or blade runner rather than some crazy wild amazing sci-fi movie.
Edit: I actually think this is already in play, see America, Taiwan and Netherlands restricting China's access to high-end semi-conductor production. I think there you can actually see the writing is already on the wall and where it's going from here.
Restricting access to high-end semiconductors will only delay their progress a bit.
If strong AI is going to be the next nuclear weapon then no sanctions will stop other countries from developing it.
The USA could not even prevent North Korea from getting nukes. And the North Korean economy is ridiculously small.
If China, Pakistan, North Korea, Russia, Iran or India decide that development of strong AI is the key to achieve their strategic goals - what are the West going to do about it?
My opinion is that of all the countries you've listed, they're much less likely to give their populace access to such systems. So I think it's less of a problem, albeit a problem.
North Korea, for example, if they developed an AGI or whatever advanced AI, aren't going to give it to their citizens to play with, it's again, 1984 there already, and it will continue that way.
They might not give it to their citizens, but they would certainly allow their military industrial complex and spy agencies to use it.
Would be stupid to waste time arguing about AI ethics in the West while getting our political systems totally wrecked by advanced AIs of hostile nations.
Because the AIs that their citizens could access would still be more powerful than those in the West if there's no obsession with AI ethics and crap like that over there.
Even if the best stuff is kept for the military/spies.
How do you think that 'they' will stop that?
At best they can do a holding pattern that keeps people a couple years away, but I mean like, what are they going to do, ban semi conductor fabrication?