Well, maybe. Years ago, I did work for a talent (models, actors, etc) placement agency. The models would engage in work like photoshoots for brochures, web sites, stock photos, catalogs or appearances at on-site events like tradeshows.
I don't see AI replacing the photoshoot work any time soon because it's cheap and relatively easy to produce the old-fashioned way. An example would a hotel owner who just updated his bar and wanted to some pictures of smiling attractive people hanging out at the bar.
It's possible, I just don't see it happening in the foreseeable future. What I think is more likely to happen is that you'd AI replacing the models captured in the photos (or videos) with celebrities who have licensed their image and voice.
I don't know what things will look like 50 years from now, but I think you're right about a lot of it.
The least creative work will disappear first: stock photos, for example. The "grunt work" of taking generic photos of attractive everyday people can be automated, but any steps after that still require manual art direction. Even in a world where you can automate the entire process from concept to post, there will still be ad campaigns that require a public figure or truly original work.
"Create a 30 second TV ad for a local car dealership in the style of every local car dealership add from the past 20 years" vs. "Coke's Wassup Commercial". These are very different budgets, most local car dealerships aren't looking for originality, they just want something cheap and effective.
What does this mean for people who make their living from making local TV ads? I'm not sure, but at least one of those people involved in setting the tone and direction on the local commercial could be "keyword engineering" to get good results. The rest are probably working in a very competitive market that only has jobs available for the most talented in the field.
It's already become common for home sale listings to have CGI furnishings added. I think it looks like shit, it's obvious and tasteless, but it's a new technology and I wouldn't be surprised if virtual home staging becomes the norm in 5 years. The same process happening with modeling wouldn't be unexpected. The first round will be tacky and obvious, but it will improve with time and become normalized.
I don't see AI replacing the photoshoot work any time soon because it's cheap and relatively easy to produce the old-fashioned way. An example would a hotel owner who just updated his bar and wanted to some pictures of smiling attractive people hanging out at the bar.
It's possible, I just don't see it happening in the foreseeable future. What I think is more likely to happen is that you'd AI replacing the models captured in the photos (or videos) with celebrities who have licensed their image and voice.