I searched a bit, and I think I'm the only HN predictor that thinks Russia is going to win the Ukraine war. I've been saying that since day 1. A lot of my thinking is influenced by J.R Nyquist who has been talking about the Russian plans to revive the Soviet Union since the 1990s. He believes that Russian defectors in the 80s were correct in saying the Russians were going to do Perestroika as a strategic retreat because they knew they couldn't catch up with the west with a centralized economy. He has generally been dismissed as a paranoid for many years for thinking that there was any chance of a revived Russian/Soviet empire.
> I searched a bit, and I think I'm the only HN predictor that thinks Russia is going to win the Ukraine war.
I really doubt this, theres a lot of pro Russian people on here.
> I've been saying that since day 1. A lot of my thinking is influenced by J.R Nyquist who has been talking about the Russian plans to revive the Soviet Union since the 1990s.
This may have been true during the Soviet Union but I don't think the hollowed Russian military is capable of capturing all of Ukraine, maybe if all the defense money went to actual defense instead of yachts it may have been.
Im interested in how you think Russia will win the war when they cant even capture a city thats a mere 400km from their own border in 10 months.
If Russia was so superior to what the commonly held belief was on Feb 24th... why have they underperformed even the most conservative estimates?
Even Gen. Milley thought they would take Kiev in 2.5 days lol.
Right now they are burning through huge huge amounts of stockpile from Soviet times, etc. They aren't producing much. And their manpower is coming from reserves and prisoners recrutied by Wagner.
