My wild ass guesstimate before learning about the mobilecoin (the signal integrated crypto) apparent fraud would have been 1-2 billion lost, so I guess I should update that to 3 billion lost-- though there is probably reasonable odds on recovering the mobilecoin funds since there were probably only a few people who could have had access to enough mobilecoin to hit a billion worth even at $67/coin.
It's quite possible that I'm just being bubbled/hopeful. I don't personally know anyone who lost money in FTX even though I know a lot of cryptocurrency people and I thought it was obviously sketchy from when I first heard of it, so these are probably influencing my perspective on how big it actually was.
> If FTX was 10% of the market
I'm dubious about 10%. We know in hindsight that FTX was faking their size in multiple respects (including e.g. faking their valuation by MTMing illiquid coins that they created and never circulated) -- probably every claim we've seen about their size based on their own figures was just lies.
It's quite possible that I'm just being bubbled/hopeful. I don't personally know anyone who lost money in FTX even though I know a lot of cryptocurrency people and I thought it was obviously sketchy from when I first heard of it, so these are probably influencing my perspective on how big it actually was.
> If FTX was 10% of the market
I'm dubious about 10%. We know in hindsight that FTX was faking their size in multiple respects (including e.g. faking their valuation by MTMing illiquid coins that they created and never circulated) -- probably every claim we've seen about their size based on their own figures was just lies.