Hacker News new | past | comments | ask | show | jobs | submit login

> How is a non-profit trade-size limited prediction market in any way a competitor for Kalshi?

Because it was one of the longest running and largest prediction markets to ever exist.

> trade-size limited

Kalshi is trade-size limited, too.




Specifically, PredictIt limits positions to $850, while Kalshi limits them to $25,000.

Which is definitely a significant difference, but still seems too small for cases like tmansour’s motivating example (“providing institutions with exposure to, or a hedge against, Brexit”). Though I guess it depends; if you bet $25,000 on a 99:1 long shot, then your position could be worth $2.5 million if it pays off.

(PredictIt also limits each market to 5000 participants, while as far as I can tell Kalshi has no such limit.)




Consider applying for YC's W25 batch! Applications are open till Nov 12.

Guidelines | FAQ | Lists | API | Security | Legal | Apply to YC | Contact

Search: