The economics of the warning don't make sense. Why destroy billions of dollars, 10 years of construction, and hundreds of miles of Russian investment for a warning? That's stupid, and Putin isn't stupid, at all. Dogshit take.
Putin isn't stupid, and yet he invaded Ukraine? Yes he is a fairly smart man but he's capable of recklessness and miscalculation.
Also, there's two assumptions here. First that they've destroyed the whole project. What's your source on the repair costs in order to justify that position?
Another assumption you've made is that NS2 isn't a sunk cost for Russia. That's an unjustified assumption given the recent consequences of Russia's energy war on Europe.
Correct, he isn't stupid and he invaded Ukraine and you should be more weary about it.
> Also, there's two assumptions here. First that they've destroyed the whole project. What's your source on the repair costs in order to justify that position?
If you search around this thread, the pipeline has an internal coating that cannot be exposed to water and no valve system to isolate and replace parts of the pipe for repairs. I'm just going off that information. But even if it can be repaired it's still very costly, and stupid to do potentially massive damage to your own infrastructure for an unspecified/unspoken 'warning' that people may not even pick up on. I'm certainly not picking up on it. That's a very inefficient messaging system.
> Another assumption you've made is that NS2 isn't a sunk cost for Russia. That's an unjustified assumption given the recent consequences of Russia's energy war on Europe.
It wasn't a sunk cost. It was a nearly operational pipeline that would have delivered extremely cheap natural gas to germany's many factories, way cheaper than other source. Europe is desperate for energy and will be desperate for energy after the war. This is why it's such a great bargaining chip, and why there's a great incentive for the US to destroy it, so they can take away that bargaining chip.
he could do it by shutting off the pipeline, which is what he was already doing. He didn't need an excuse. Furthermore, he wants to be able to turn it back on, as negotiating tool. But the explosion prevents that, with no benefit. People are saying they want to avoid fines, but the fines could never exceed the value of the intact pipeline. It's nonsense.
