For years I've had this idea rattling around in my head to build a web UI that shows a graph of some historical quantity, e.g., company revenue, disease cases, global mean temperature anomaly, stock prices, etc. The historical data is shown as a curve which terminates at the present, and there's some empty space for the future. The user then uses a freehand drawing tool to extend the historical curve into the future, based on what they feel will happen. Save this data, and let users view some average(s) of all crowdsourced curves, grouped by submission date. Stretch goal: let users track their own forecast accuracy, and let users view forecasts weighted or filtered by the historical forecast accuracy of contributing users.
Is this close to what you're working on? I have no idea how useful or interesting this would be, but I feel like I'd learn a ton just trying to build it. Alas, I just haven't made the time, and lack the skills to hack something together in a reasonable time.
I’d like to do things in the whole space. What you described that’s very close to what I’m working on is that drawing tool. Imagine you already had a system where you asked people how a number would change over time, but you just gave them 12 boxes with a month name next to each. I’m trying to make a reusable system for improving that experience. Your chart drawing would be an example.
For years I've had this idea rattling around in my head to build a web UI that shows a graph of some historical quantity, e.g., company revenue, disease cases, global mean temperature anomaly, stock prices, etc. The historical data is shown as a curve which terminates at the present, and there's some empty space for the future. The user then uses a freehand drawing tool to extend the historical curve into the future, based on what they feel will happen. Save this data, and let users view some average(s) of all crowdsourced curves, grouped by submission date. Stretch goal: let users track their own forecast accuracy, and let users view forecasts weighted or filtered by the historical forecast accuracy of contributing users.
Is this close to what you're working on? I have no idea how useful or interesting this would be, but I feel like I'd learn a ton just trying to build it. Alas, I just haven't made the time, and lack the skills to hack something together in a reasonable time.