On: Mainnet Merge Announcement

[targ65]

What are the chances that this doesn't end in disaster? Honest question.

[everfree → targ65]

Chances are high that it will not end in disaster, in my opinion.

They've simulated the switchover dozens of times on a diverse set of networks, including development ("shadow") forks of the main network itself.

[endorphine → targ65]

Can you provide some examples?

[dsimmons → targ65]

Many/most people "in the know" peg it somewhere in the ballpark of ~90-95% chance of success from what I've seen.