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The conclusion presented in the title is not supported without more data. Bad news for Hong Kong factory owners, most likely, but how does that reflect on all of China?

- 50,000 is what percentage of all factories in China?

- How many factory closings happened last year? What is the ten year average?

- How many factories are opening? Perhaps HK factories are closing due to competition from bootstrapped mainland factories?

- What is the success rate and average lifespan for a factory in China today? I imagine it is quite low.

The article presents a compelling data point, but not a full argument. The Pearl River Delta is far from stable and there are as many carcasses of failed investments as there are successful ones.




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